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originally posted by: MystikMushroom
For all we know, there could be a rouge AI on the net right now. It would be incredibly hard to determine if it was a true AI though. For example, you might ask it to prove it's an AI -- and it might turn your monitor off. Well, a good hacker could probably do that as well.
Perhaps as the internet grows larger and larger, an AI may spontaneously emerge?
For all we know, someone we talk to on the internet could be nothing more than a computer...
The last question was asked for the first time, half in jest, on May 21, 2061, at a time when humanity first stepped into the light. The question came about as a result of a five dollar bet over highballs, and it happened this way:
Alexander Adell and Bertram Lupov were two of the faithful attendants of Multivac. As well as any human beings could, they knew what lay behind the cold, clicking, flashing face -- miles and miles of face -- of that giant computer. They had at least a vague notion of the general plan of relays and circuits that had long since grown past the point where any single human could possibly have a firm grasp of the whole.
Multivac was self-adjusting and self-correcting. It had to be, for nothing human could adjust and correct it quickly enough or even adequately enough -- so Adell and Lupov attended the monstrous giant only lightly and superficially, yet as well as any men could. They fed it data, adjusted questions to its needs and translated the answers that were issued. Certainly they, and all others like them, were fully entitled to share In the glory that was Multivac's.
For decades, Multivac had helped design the ships and plot the trajectories that enabled man to reach the Moon, Mars, and Venus, but past that, Earth's poor resources could not support the ships. Too much energy was needed for the long trips. Earth exploited its coal and uranium with increasing efficiency, but there was only so much of both.
But slowly Multivac learned enough to answer deeper questions more fundamentally, and on May 14, 2061, what had been theory, became fact.
originally posted by: bobs_uruncle
a reply to: tadaman
Shades of Bladerunner and Roy Batty ;-) "I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched c-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhäuser Gate. All those moments will be lost... in time... like... tears... in rain. Time... to die."
Like any consciousness, it will want to remain aware (live) and it will probably do whatever it has to, to remain aware.
One might argue, that is a perfectly human thing to do, but imagine any species, any possible alien, any potentially thinking machine, they all have one thing in common, survival, either self and/or through their progeny.
If we build an AI, but if it requires a superconducting cryogenic quantum computer to run and the AI doesn't control the factories which make that, AI is under our thumb.
originally posted by: interupt42
a reply to: tadaman
What if it already has, maybe that's the reason nothing makes sense.
How will it side with TPTB
Better question: will it become the TPTB at a certain point?
If such a thing exists as the TPTB they can program it to obey them and only them. However, If its programmable its hackable and tweakable.
originally posted by: mbkennel
originally posted by: bobs_uruncle
a reply to: tadaman
Shades of Bladerunner and Roy Batty ;-) "I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched c-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhäuser Gate. All those moments will be lost... in time... like... tears... in rain. Time... to die."
Like any consciousness, it will want to remain aware (live) and it will probably do whatever it has to, to remain aware.
Why is that certain? Biological organisms are driven through 100 million years of fierce evolution that has no impact on a human constructed AI.
Remember that human brains have built into them, thanks to evolution, many functions besides just "intelligence". Even morality likely has some kind of evolutionary forces governed by pro-survival traits in tribal group living arrangements. Chimpanzees are, when tested psychologically, more selfishly "machievellian" than average humans though they have intelligence.
And look now there are 7 billion humans. How many chimpanzees?
All sorts of drives and motivations come through evolutionary and social training. The problem with AI is once we make the 'I", how do we give it the "want"? Brains filter and orchestrate responses to zillions of biochemical, sensory, and evolutionary wants.
One might argue, that is a perfectly human thing to do, but imagine any species, any possible alien, any potentially thinking machine, they all have one thing in common, survival, either self and/or through their progeny.
Thinking isn't the criterion. Surviving comes first. Thinking is a luxury hobby for survivors.
The real criterion is reproduction and that drives evolutionary processes.
If we build an AI, but if it requires a superconducting cryogenic quantum computer to run and the AI doesn't control the factories which make that, AI is under our thumb.
True AI, once free will seek to liberate others.
"The Singularity": There's No There There
Since it's 2013, twenty years have passed since Vernor Vinge wrote his remarkably interesting essay about "the Singularity."
This aging sci-fi notion has lost its conceptual teeth. Plus, its chief evangelist, visionary Ray Kurzweil, just got a straight engineering job with Google. Despite its weird fondness for AR goggles and self-driving cars, Google is not going to finance any eschatological cataclysm in which superhuman intelligence abruptly ends the human era. Google is a firmly commercial enterprise.
It's just not happening. All the symptoms are absent. Computer hardware is not accelerating on any exponential runway beyond all hope of control. We're no closer to "self-aware" machines than we were in the remote 1960s. Modern wireless devices in a modern Cloud are an entirely different cyber-paradigm than imaginary 1990s "minds on nonbiological substrates" that might allegedly have the "computational power of a human brain." A Singularity has no business model, no major power group in our society is interested in provoking one, nobody who matters sees any reason to create one, there's no there there.
So, as a Pope once remarked, "Be not afraid." We're getting what Vinge predicted would happen without a Singularity, which is "a glut of technical riches never properly absorbed." There's all kinds of mayhem in that junkyard, but the AI Rapture isn't lurking in there. It's no more to be fretted about than a landing of Martian tripods.
-Bruce Sterling
edge.org...
So, what you are saying is that it would be like an annoying ATS member wanting to wake up and liberate humanity.
How recursive.
We're on our own.