Scientists predict biggest asteroid-Earth collision in 2032

reply to post by LightAssassin

Now your message just freaked me out!

Jeepers-creepers....I think there may be a lot more announcements surrounding this issue and maybe some more paranormal experiences depicting this date?

Also maybe a new movie called "2032" will come out...just like the movie "2012"

reply to post by LightAssassin


Also...your animated .gif avatar is freaking me out

Skywatcher2011
" However, in reality the threat is minor, with astronomers putting the chance of direct impact at one in 63,000 – the likelihood being that its orbit will miss our planet by some 1.7 million kilometres. However, the threat posed by the 2013 TV135 is minor. Updated estimates show that it has a one in 14,000 chance of colliding with our planet, which is five times as probable as the initial estimate of 1 in 63,000, but still negligible".

Slightly confusing.
They re-wrote the sentence and then forgot to delete the first version.
1 in 14,000 seems to be the latest estimate.

Dianec
NASA may have refined its estimates, which is good, but years ago my astronomy professor spoke of this guy with vigor. He was absolutely certain it would be a hit. Now we have more precise intruments I'm sure (the way tech is growing I'm assuming we do). It's still a way off too so no stress yet

If your astronomy professor spoke a few years ago about a potential collision, then he was talking about a different asteroid. This asteroid (2013 TV135) was only discovered last month.

The refinement of the odds of collision are not due to better instruments, but due to a better understanding of the asteroid's orbit. They need to observe the position of the object for a certain period of time to understand its orbit -- the longer they observe it, the more sure they can be about its orbit. If they only have -- say, for example -- two weeks of observing its path, then the full orbital path they extrapolate out of that small snippet of path may not be so certain. As weeks and months of observation continue, they will have observed a larger "snippet" of its orbit, and they can be more sure about the full orbital path they extrapolate from that larger snippet.

Also, another reason for the range of odds is that different groups are studying it independently.
Different groups = different conclusions.

reply to post by paxnatus


lol. Just lol.

Totally off-topic honey. PM me with comments like that to check to see if I know what I'm doing.
I can understand why you jump to conclusions, if you don't understand and respect what it is you are dealing with on a Ouija board then you will become lunch, basically. I didn't just 'jump on the board and start asking questions'. I followed protocols to ensure a safe session. I get how that realm operates, and am aware of its dangers.

Plus, Demons is such a religious connotation, and is totally discriminating against those you might call 'Angels' who have benevolent or, at the very least, impartial intentions, and are capable of being contacted through that medium. To immediately assume a Demon was contacted on the Ouija board is also discriminatory towards the Ouija board itself. There's nothing 'evil' about a Ouija board. It's like a gun basically.

Now, regarding 2032. Further research of that date, by yours truly, has shown that 2032 is actually the beginning of the New Age, Age of Aquarius i think. There's actually a 20 year transition period between Ages.....and it so happens that 2032 is the 'official' beginning of the new age. I discovered this after what my partner had seen that night.

That info, this info, the Ouija board info.....none of it matters. Whatever happens has already happened.

Doom porn is great fun. But two things ....

- This isn't until 2032 so 'failure watch' will last a long time.
- The chances of this happening is something like 1 in 42,000 so we can't get really worked up about it.

But ... keep the doom porn coming. It's fun.

Um...the Wikipedia page has estimates of impact as little/big (?) as 1 in 3,800

Provided by mr Elenin

en.wikipedia.org...

and the source spaceobs.org...

That said, estimates came in a day or two later, putting it at 1 in 8,200

Either way, completely different to the reported estimates in OP's article. By a looong chalk!

markymint
...Either way, completely different to the reported estimates in OP's article. By a looong chalk!

Like I said above, different groups are tracking this object, trying to accurately ascertain its true orbit. Therefore, each of those groups may have differing odds, depending on how well they have interpolated the true orbit from the limited information available.

reply to post by markymint


Leonid said this:

It’s consistent with SENRY JPL. This asteroid will be observable by small telescopes till New Year and of course we will improve our calculation of impact probability. I bet what it will be 0.0%!

spaceobs.org...

reply to post by Phage


Also, this...

The peak estimated threat from the asteroid occurred October 19-20, 2013 when Leonid Elenin and NEODyS estimated the odds of impact to be 0.03% (1 in 3,800).

en.wikipedia.org...-Elenin20131019-5

That basically tells me their data sets put it at a 1 in 3,800 chance of impact with Earth, but Leonid is wagering that as more data is collected that number will become 0 chance of impact.

reply to post by Skywatcher2011

Astronomers say the 1,345-foot (410m) rock could pass by or hit our planet on 26 August 2032, creating an explosion 50 times greater than the most powerful nuclear bomb.

I say, Ouch!

Thanks for sharing with us!

S&F

Given the odds are low enough, for now, of impending doom, I wonder how visible this asteroid would be to the backyard observer around the 26th of August 2032... Are asteroids reflective at all? I'm a novice in the astronomy department.

That's some lousy doom porn. If this asteroid were to zoom by closer than the distance to the Moon (LD), then we'd all be excited and a bit worried. The only thing notable about this asteroid is that it entered Torino Impact Scale at #1 (the lowest risk). But it will most likely exist the Torino scale when the orbit will be better refined.

Skywatcher2011
Now, I don't know about you members of ATS, but this kind of freaks me out!

What if something like a asteroid-earth collision was to happen? Could this be the inevitable Armageddon of life on Earth?

Honestly though, I think this one is worth watching and paying close attention to over the coming years. So with t-minus 19 years from now....if it were to happen, where do you see yourself in the end of days?

I am sure most of us would have forgotten about such a global catastrophic event from happening by that time, but I sure hope to live one heck of a life before that day is to come!

Work hard and party hard!

Then watch as a big star nears us from up above!

Being that a collision is "negligible" at 1 in 63,000 ,I wouldn't get too worked up over this. Nothing to see here.

Skywatcher2011
Now, I don't know about you members of ATS, but this kind of freaks me out!

What if something like a asteroid-earth collision was to happen? Could this be the inevitable Armageddon of life on Earth?

Honestly though, I think this one is worth watching and paying close attention to over the coming years. So with t-minus 19 years from now....if it were to happen, where do you see yourself in the end of days?

I am sure most of us would have forgotten about such a global catastrophic event from happening by that time, but I sure hope to live one heck of a life before that day is to come!

Work hard and party hard!

Then watch as a big star nears us from up above!

Its happen before, it WILL happen again.

The only question is will Humanity be prepared for it.

This is clearly just part of a conspiracy meant to distract us from the real threat that is Apophis.

In all seriousness though I really hope they name one of these asteroids or comets Nibiru.

727Sky
It is but one of the guestamated million that belong to this solar system and could possibly cause a bad day for earth. In America we would rather spend 1 or 2+ trillion on affordable (cough) health care than try with other nations to mount an effect quick response to a possible species ending event like an impact from something coming in from the direction of the sun..

www.abovetopsecret.com... (one million a guess; 60 minutes series)
An impact in the ocean which is down played in the video but makes for good cinematic effect

Guys it's going to happen sooner. Why do you think they are telling us. It's all in preparation...to ease the mind.

Deep Impact...one of my favorites and it was slightly overlooked because of Armageddon that same year. Deep Impact is more realistic for obvious reasons but that video still sends chills thru my body.

mmmm, give me that doom porn.....mmmmm....all over my face, yum yum yum yum.....

FlyersFan
Doom porn is great fun. But two things ....

- This isn't until 2032 so 'failure watch' will last a long time.
- The chances of this happening is something like 1 in 42,000 so we can't get really worked up about it.

But ... keep the doom porn coming. It's fun.

All the more time to prove that this was predicted by the Mayans, Bible Code, Nastradamus, Mother Shipton, the Annunaki and the Clangers. And write lots and lots of books saying so. $$$$$$££££££££$$$$$$

benrl
Its happen before, it WILL happen again.

The only question is will Humanity be prepared for it.

That's not the only question. Another question might be "Will humanity still be around when it happens again?"

Humans have been around for a VERY short time on earth (our current species is only 250,000 years old) and civilization has only been around 50,000 years. Even if we liberal on how long the species will still be around -- let's say 5,000,000 more years (which would be 100 times longer than our civilization has been around so far, and 20 times longer than our species has been around) -- there may may not be an extinction level impact event during that time period.

It's possible that the next extinction level impact event could come some time long after the human species has gone away due to some other natural cause. Species don't last forever.

Having said that, I think we should be prepared for one that may surprise us tomorrow.