posted on Mar, 31 2013 @ 12:36 PM
Hypothetically speaking. I'm trying to incorporate the many opinions I've read lately into this scenario. Bear with me.
Let's say NK is preparing to drop a nuke on someone's head. Let's also say that Lil' Kim is just a figurehead, with the strings being pulled by
his sister, his Generals, whoever. Let's also say that, because of his western education (and wanting to continue his cushy lifestyle), he knows the
US has the power to level his little country, and he doesn't want that.
But. Let's say he does have enough power to influence the target. Though it would be the most easily and quickly reached, Seoul shouldn't be that
target. It just doesn't seem feasible to drop a nuke on the neighbor right across the street. Especially knowing that neighbor has a large family
that will seek your death.
I'd hit a target that would have the largest impact, but the (possible) least payback potential.
Guam? Sure, a US target, but fairly insignificant in the grand scheme. Tokyo? Japan's still somewhat reeling from the tsunami/Fukushima meltdown. It
would have a large economic impact on the world, especially the US. But, Tokyo is largely civilian, and hitting it would PO a lot of people. The world
would want retaliation in kind.
Honolulu or Pearl Harbor. Pretty far shot, for NK's questionable accuracy. Same goes for the mainland US west coast.
That leaves Alaska. Anchorage would probably receive the same blowback as Tokyo. If I was in lil' Kim's shoes, I'd choose Valdez. A major impact on
the US, and by extension, the world economy. Destruction of the Trans-Alaska pipeline terminal, where about 1.5 million barrels of oil gets shipped
out each day. As minimal loss of innocent life as possible. Not to mention the environmental impact that would cost billions. It would hurt.
The retaliation? The decimation of NK's command and control structure. The destruction of 'known' nuke sites.
However, and this is key. Again, Kim was educated in the west. He's studied the US political 'heartbeat', if you will. He may be fairly certain
that The US WILL NOT respond with a nuclear exchange. But he will expect a response.
He knows that the US will send down a rain of conventional munitions on his command and control, ala Iraq style. but if he's smart, as soon as the
nuke explodes over Valdez, he's yells loud and clear that he has more, hidden away, that he will launch at closer targets. He makes it clear that he
will not invade the south, but that his troops, and all those 10.000 artillery pieces are ready to open up IF the south invades him.
After the response, he brokers ANOTHER ceasefire, thereby, in the eyes of his people at least, he wins the war. He nuked a major US target, severely
hurt the US economy, and all the US did was blow up a few buildings.
Of course, he may then have the leverage needed to operate his 'protection racket'. "You've seen what I can do, you know I'll do it again, so
give us money and food, and I won't burn your store down".