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I don't buy this "once every hundred years" Malarky for asteroids and other super-events.
I find it reasonable but I actually think the statistic is 1 in 3 decades.
Anyone else find the "once every hundred years" saying arrogant?
One every four decades may actually be one or two a year..If you're not tracking them (or are unable to)
The data is there.
Odds seem appropriate when data is present to support them.
That isn't a matter of probability. It is a matter of market analysis.
How many Kit Kats will be sold the summer,
Where's Gnome? Will weather forecasts may cite proabilities (chance of rain), they are not really based on them.
How much snow will fall in Gnome.