Quake Watch 2013

I always open my eyes when anything around a 5.0 or greater is in this subduction zone... one day is coming... when the west coast will suffer greatly


This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 5.1
Date-Time

Wednesday, February 27, 2013 at 22:25:44 UTC
Wednesday, February 27, 2013 at 02:25:44 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 43.152°N, 126.467°W
Depth 9.9 km (6.2 miles)
Region OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
Distances 167 km (103 miles) W of Bandon, Oregon
184 km (114 miles) W of Coos Bay, Oregon
254 km (157 miles) W of Roseburg, Oregon
268 km (166 miles) WNW of Grants Pass, Oregon
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 19.4 km (12.1 miles); depth +/- 4.5 km (2.8 miles)
Parameters NST=180, Nph=181, Dmin=177 km, Rmss=0.87 sec, Gp=158°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=7
Source

Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

Event ID usc000fe5b


earthquake.usgs.gov...

reply to post by muzzy


Ha, I don't remember when it last did whatever the H is the opposite of rained - I have forgotten what that is.

And, as i suspected, and after the 7 days period has passed New Zealand has been downgraded to 5.9

Downgraded quake
mag=5.9|place=111km NE of L’Esperance Rock. New Zealand
earthquake.usgs.gov...

On my quake watch site I said

I have to say that I am not happy with this one at 6.1. I believe it should be under Mag 6

Now it is and PuterMan is happy again!

reply to post by radpetey


A good read
"There was a 9.0 earthquake when the Europeans occupied the island on December 2, 1562. It destroyed the cities of La Vega and Santiago. A quake estimated to be a 10.0 happened on October 18, 1751 and devastated the southern region. A terremoto estimated to be 11.0 happened on May 7, 1842 destroyed the north of Haiti and much of what is now the Dominican Republic."
I think Utsu would have picked up on those, when he was working on the papers he took over he considered all folklore and such stuff.
I'll have a look and see if there is anything for those dates. They may have been a mag 6.5 or something, but lots of peoples killed making it seem worse than it really was size wise

F-E Region: Vanuatu Islands
Time: 2013-02-28 03:09:44.5 UTC
Magnitude: 6.0
Epicenter: 167.35°E 17.67°S
Depth: 10 km
Status: A - automatic
geofon.gfz-potsdam.de...

reply to post by muzzy


Und nun die Seismologen geschaut hat, und dies ist nicht eine Stärke 6

F-E Region: Vanuatu Islands
Mw Beach Ball
Time: 2013-02-28 03:09:44.6 UTC
Magnitude: 5.9 (Mw)
Epicenter: 167.37°E 17.71°S
Depth: 19 km
Status: M - manually revised

But the dear old USGS (you have to love them NOT) still insist it is a Mag 6.1mb. This is despite that fact that they say 5.8Mw and 5.9Mw on the tensor solutions. As with New Zealand I have no doubt this will go down to 5.9 once the proprietary 8 days has passed. I am so convinced of this I am not even going to bother to amend my site to show it.

You gotta admit the accelerometer image of it is pretty!

Magnitude 6.9 - Kuril Islands

L ocation in Google Maps

• Date-Time: Thursday, February 28, 2013 @ 14:05:51 UTC
  
• Earthquake location: 50.753°N, 157.532°E,
  
• Earthquake depth: 46.3 km
  
• Distances:
  101km (62mi) E of Severo-Kuril'sk, Russia
  242km (150mi) SSW of Vilyuchinsk, Russia
  259km (160mi) SSW of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia
  269km (167mi) SSW of Yelizovo, Russia
  2207km (1371mi) NE of Tokyo, Japan
  
• Event ID: pt13059001
  

Derived from Event Data Source: USGS
Powered by QVSData

I guess it had to pop another off before the end of the month

000
WEPA42 PHEB 281413
TIBPAC

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1413Z 28 FEB 2013

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 1406Z 28 FEB 2013
COORDINATES - 50.8 NORTH 157.5 EAST
DEPTH - 46 KM
LOCATION - KURIL ISLANDS
MAGNITUDE - 6.9

EVALUATION

NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.

HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

Japan - No advisories in effect
www.jma.go.jp...


Emsc: M5.9
Potsdam: M5.8

reply to post by PuterMan


I don.t have a link to show it properly, but it seems that quake set off something in the Cali region.

USGS isn.t showing all the little ones going off.

I just find soooo interesting to see other area's react. Hoping of course nothing big happens.

I'm sorry I can't get the link to work for me.

further to post by muzzy

yeah quite a few with no magnitude, but severe damage;

Date, Latitude, Longitude, Tidal waves, Damage, Where, Dead
1502/- /-, 18.3, -69.5, , - , seve, Dominica:Santo Domingo
1564/4/20, 19.1, -70.3, , - , seve, Dominica:Concepcion de la Vega
1615/9/8, -, - , , - , seve, Puerto Rico/Dominica:Santo Domingo
1673/5/9, 18.3, -69.5, , seve, Dominica:Santo Domingo, 5
1684/- /-, 19, -71, , - , seve, Dominica:Santo Domingo,Azua
1691/- /-, 18.3, -70.4, , - , seve, Haiti/Dominica:Azua,St.Domingo
1751/8/18, 19, -70, , - , seve, Dominica
1751/10/18, 18.5, -70.7, T, - , seve, Dominica:Santo Domingo,Azua
1771/10/3, -, - , , - , some, Dominica:Santo Domingo
1776/1/30, 19, -70.4, , - , seve, Dominica/Puerto Rico
1783/- /-, 19.3, -70.4, , - , mode, Dominica:santiago de Los Caballieros
1784/7/29, 18.3, -72.5, , - , seve, Dominica/Haiti:St.Domingo,Port-au-Prince,Goave
1793/- /-, -, - , , - , some, Dominica:Santo Domingo
1818/11/20, -, - , , - , some, Dominica:Cap Henri(Santo Domingo)
1842/5/7, 19.7, -72.8, T, seve, Dominica:St.Domingo,Santiago/Haiti,4500
source: Utsu search

reply to post by PuterMan

RAS are showing

Date [GMT] lat lon depth Ms mb region name
2013-02-28 14:05:48.5 50.87 157.41 50 [color=violet]7.0Ms/19 6.7mb/8 Kuril Islands

but I'm not convinced its as high as 7, based on LISS, particularly SNZO, the graph should be 80% covered in wiggles for a 7+, no matter where it is in the World.

LDEO are quite low, at 6.7Ms

here is a 6.6 in the Kurils on 16/11/2012 for comparison although it is split by the graph borders, but you can clearly see todays was bigger than that

Activity once again on the rise it seems to me this morning.

earthquake.usgs.gov...

MAP 6.5 2013/03/01 12:53:52 50.938 157.511 40.9 KURIL ISLANDS

MAP 4.0 2013/03/01 07:50:23 42.561 -111.087 4.7 SOUTHERN IDAHO

It seems (to me ) that when Vanuatu cracks, others get perturbed. Maybe its me.... and the heebie geeebies I feel when I see this area, but I have noticed a pattern.

Two new quakes over 6.0 in the Kuril Islands.

SOURCE

MAP 6.7 2013/03/01 13:20:51 50.945 157.476 31.7 KURIL ISLANDS
MAP 6.5 2013/03/01 12:53:52 50.938 157.511 40.9 KURIL ISLANDS

reply to post by muzzy


Muzzy, as I see and feel it, I don't think Japan or Cali is going to get much warning. Once the chain reaction starts it will move so fast, both the EQs and the Tsunamis. The pressure is building on the west coast and the plate is opening on Japan Russia side.

The 11th or 12 seems like it could be a repeat. Last year was the warning.

update on post by muzzy


NIED (reviewed)
6.3ML, 2013/02/25 16:23:53, 36.874N, 139.413E, 2.8km, NORTHERN TOCHIGI PREF

was
NIED preliminary (first)
5.5ML 25/02/2013 16:23:53, 36.8731 139.4069, 2.1 km, Nikko,Tochigi Prefecture

AQUA and JMA unchanged at 5.8Mw and 6.2ML respectively

The 11th or 12 seems like it could be a repeat. Last year was the warning.

reply to post by prophetboy12


Do you mind being more specific? A repeat of last year? What specifically are you speaking of that happened last year? Why do you think the 11th or 12th? Why not tomorrow? Just curious.

USGS (currently)
6.5, 2013/03/01 13:20:51, 50.945, 157.476, 31.7, KURIL ISLANDS
6.5, 2013/03/01 12:53:52, 50.938, 157.511, 40.9, KURIL ISLANDS

EMSC
6.5, 2013-03-01 13:20:52.0, 50.92N,157.53E, 50, KURIL ISLANDS
6.3, 2013-03-01 12:53:54.0, 50.97N,157.56E, 56, KURIL ISLANDS
GFZ
6.5, 2013-03-01 13:20:52, 50.80°N 157.68°E, 55, Kuril Islands
6.3, 2013-03-01 12:53:54, 50.88°N 157.56°E, 57, Kuril Islands
RAS
6.7Ms/16 6.2mb/23, 2013-03-01 13:20:51.3, 50.88, 157.61, 60, Kuril Islands
6.4Ms/13 6.0mb/14, 2013-03-01 12:53:51.8, 50.88, 157.58, 60, Kuril Islands
LDEO
6.4Ms, 2013/ 3/ 1 13: 20: 56.0, 51.25, 157.25, 33.0, NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
6.3Ms,2013/ 3/ 1 12: 53: 52.0, 51.00, 157.00, 33.0, NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

Its pretty obvious USGS are struggling with these, its clear they are a different size from LISS SNZO (the first one is on the right of the graph)


just had a look at the MTS's on USGS, seem to be more in line with the consensus

USGS Body-Wave Moment Tensor Solution
6.4Mw, 13/03/01 13:20:49.96, 50.838, 157.632, 35, KURIL ISLANDS
6.3Mw, 13/03/01 12:53:51.45, 50.922, 157.510, 35, KURIL ISLANDS

USGS WPhase Moment Solution
6.5Mw, 13/03/01 13:20:50.00, 50.944,157.475, 40, KURIL ISLANDS
6.4Mw,13/03/01 12:53:52.00, 50.838, 157.670, 40, KURIL ISLANDS

...... and

USGS Energy and Broadband Solution
Me 6.3, 13/03/01 13:20:50, 50.94N, 157.48E, 29, KURIL ISLANDS
Me 5.5, 13/03/01 12:53:52, 50.94N, 157.51E, 33, KURIL ISLANDS

M4.4 - 54km E of Searles Valley, California
Event Page

Event Time

2013-03-01 21:55:27 UTC
2013-03-01 13:55:27 UTC-08:00 at epicenter
2013-03-01 14:55:27 UTC-07:00 system time

Location

35.820°N 116.803°W depth=0.3km (0.2mi)
Nearby Cities

54km (34mi) E of Searles Valley, California
81km (50mi) ENE of Ridgecrest, California
85km (53mi) WSW of Pahrump, Nevada
104km (65mi) N of Barstow, California
454km (282mi) SE of Carson City, Nevada

reply to post by MamaJ


Days correspond to numbers, numbers correspond to lines of the clock, lines of the clock correspond to angles, angles correspond to energies, energies correspond to light, light corresponds to vibration, vibration corresponds to color, color corresponds to virtue, virtue corresponds to dispensation, dispensation corresponds to cosmic direction, cosmic direction corresponds to cosmic plan, cosmic plan correlates to cosmic being, cosmic being corresponds to universal plan.

11 is 11 o'clock line. Physical quadrant. Last line before new quadrant. The sun would be in the center of the clock. It is the slingshot of energy of the cosmic beings directing the universe.

I know that this all sounds like gobble gook, but the energy that comes from the sun is not only intelligence driven it is a reflection of us. Are we intelligent?

2 shakes, not many seconds apart in the D.R:

4.3 13km S of Rio San Juan, Dominican Republic 2013-03-02 03:17:40 19.521°N 70.065°W 41.3
4.1 15km WNW of El Factor, Dominican Republic 2013-03-02 03:17:16 19.366°N 70.026°W 28.7

earthquake.usgs.gov...

(That link SHOULD work, I hope. I had to cut it down, it was a million miles long for some reason today)

reply to post by Nyiah

must be the day for double taps, seen these as well on GFZ, minutes apart though, rather than seconds

Time, Mag, Lat, Long, Depth, Status, Where
2013-03-02 19:29:13 4.4 32.71°N 50.72°E 10 M Northern and Central Iran
2013-03-02 19:24:28 4.6 31.88°N 50.86°E 11 M Northern and Central Iran

2013-03-02 01:19:37 5.0 12.91°S 169.20°E 640 A Santa Cruz Islands Region
2013-03-02 01:17:58 4.9 12.82°S 169.18°E 637 A Santa Cruz Islands Region
source

thats deep for Santa Cruz