The research of University of Massachusetts geoscientist Michael Mann has long been the strongest evidence that humans are the primary cause of global
warming. His famous "hockey stick" graph which shows that our planet suddenly began to heat up 100 years ago, at the same time we began burning oil
and coal, has been the strongest evidence of the environmental lobbies argument that global warming is not only real, but that it is our fault.
However new research into the methods Michael Mann used to generate hs famous hockey stick graph by Canadian scientists Stephen McIntyre and Ross
McKitrick has shown that hs results were biased by the math he used to generate it.
www.technologyreview.com
Progress in science is sometimes made by great discoveries. But science also advances when we learn that something we believed to be true isn’t. When
solving a jigsaw puzzle, the solution can sometimes be stymied by the fact that a wrong piece has been wedged in a key place.
In the scientific and political debate over global warming, the latest wrong piece may be the “hockey stick,” the famous plot (shown below), published
by University of Massachusetts geoscientist Michael Mann and colleagues. This plot purports to show that we are now experiencing the warmest climate
in a millennium, and that the earth, after remaining cool for centuries during the medieval era, suddenly began to heat up about 100 years ago--just
at the time that the burning of coal and oil led to an increase in atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide.
I talked about this at length in my December 2003 column. Unfortunately, discussion of this plot has been so polluted by political and activist frenzy
that it is hard to dig into it to reach the science. My earlier column was largely a plea to let science proceed unmolested. Unfortunately, the very
importance of the issue has made careful science difficult to pursue.
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And so once again we are faced with a situation where flawed scence has been used to support the theories and hypothesis of those who believe that
humans are causing the world to get hotter. While this new discovery does not mean that humans are not causing global climate change it does weaken
the argument that we are. Unlike what most environmentalists want you to believe there is still no hard evidence that humans are responsible for
global climate change. n the end this only means that more research must be done to determine f what we believe to be happening even is.
[edit on 15-10-2004 by mwm1331]
[edit on 15-10-2004 by mwm1331]