Originally posted by Acessallareas
This is indeed very interesting.... Does seem a bit peculiar to test such an aircraft in plain view....
Due to the close proximity in time of the Roswell incident and the UFO hysteria of the 60s and 70s i am always very dubious about sightings in this
period. Way way to many of them for such a short period of time and then a huge decrease in sightings as the hysteria died out...
Keep in mind that there is an excellent reason as to why the quality and quantity of good sightings decreased after around 1970, and it's discussed
much too rarely. It has little to do with the 'hysteria' back then, in my opinion. Instead, what happened is that a whole, important class of
sightings -- those involving military pilots and / or are military radars, which make up a great many of the strong unexplained cases from back then
-- were basically censored from public view after 1970. The military simply closed its books, and the Condon Report (though easily shown to be
extremely faulty) had a chilling effect on military and civilian witnesses as well. It was now even LESS likely that those with the highest
credibility would report a sighting....
Note what has happened over the years since open reporting of these military witness / pilot / radar cases has ceased:
--military cases WERE included in Blue Book Special Report 14. It found about 20% unknowns. (Good unknowns, that is; a separate ~10% of cases had
--military cases WERE included in the final, core Blue Book data, and though officially only about 6% of cases were classified as unknowns, Hynek,
McDonald, Sparks, and other reputable researchers have said that the true unknowns in that data probably comprise at least 20%. (See ** below.)
--military cases WERE included in the Condon Report, and though it only looked at a sample of under 100 sightings, and despite the Report's
disconnected conclusions, we STILL see an "unknown" rate of about 30%.
-- such military cases are NOT in play nowadays, or at least only rarely. And now we all default to this tired old "5% unknown" line. It's the
How'd we get from 20% or more down to 5%? By having the best cases taken from us, by a clearly secretive and embarrassed government. And by having
some of the easy-to-explain cases (those that would have once been filtered out before a report was even prepared) included in the mass of sightings
now in public databases.
It's a lot easier for ignorant skeptics to call 5% a mere and expected "residue of unknowns" than it is to say the same about 20%....
I don't think there is any evidence that the quality or quantity of sightings has significantly decreased after 1970. We simply can't know. But what
has definitely changed is public access to the good military cases, and less willingness to report in almost all circles.
**From Hynek's CUFOS
Sparks: "Much more disturbing are the indications from my limited review of BB cases that there may be as many as possibly 4,000 Unexplained UFO
cases miscategorized as IFO's in the BB files. McDonald similarly stated in 1968 at his CASI lecture that from his review of BB cases he estimated
that 30-40% of 12,000 cases were Unexplained, or about 3,600 to 4,800. These are mostly military cases and many involve radar.