Toutatis

(my eng not very good,i can't speak more detail,but i think manyone know this)

some hearsay said Toutatis have 63% may crash on Earth,how do u think??

and i heard someone said that day is end of the day,alien whom on the Toutatis will attack us

You might find this thread interesting:
Tutanis Disaster!!!

No. It won't hit us this time around.

Toutatis won't hit us this time around but if somthing is not done to re ajust the orbit of this one it will hit us in 2012.

Check out the following...

echo.jpl.nasa.gov...

By my calculations there will be a collision with this astroid in 2012. notice the approach every 4 years....

All the best,

Tim,

Are we even going to be able to see it in the states?

Originally posted by SpittinCobra
Are we even going to be able to see it in the states?

What part of the states are you in Spittincobra?

I am in Chicago, I hope I can see it.

Originally posted by Alchemist
(my eng not very good,i can't speak more detail,but i think manyone know this)

some hearsay said Toutatis have 63% may crash on Earth,how do u think??

and i heard someone said that day is end of the day,alien whom on the Toutatis will attack us

No, Toutatis will not Hit Earth at all. Not for at least another 60 years.

Insider.

Originally posted by JPL_Insider

Originally posted by Alchemist
(my eng not very good,i can't speak more detail,but i think manyone know this)

some hearsay said Toutatis have 63% may crash on Earth,how do u think??

and i heard someone said that day is end of the day,alien whom on the Toutatis will attack us

No, Toutatis will not Hit Earth at all. Not for at least another 60 years.

Insider.

Not for another 60 years!!!!

So what you are saying is my calculations are incorrect??

In addition you are saying that a 5km astroid traveling at 11 km a second will hit the earth in my life time??????

That's quite an admition from an insider!!

Why not come clean and admit it's gonna happen sonner than that!!

Tim.

Hello Tim. While I admire your calculations, I can not come forward and admit anything. It is not possible.

You see the rumours, people pretending to be REAL people from NASA, Government, FBI, CID, etc Sites, yes, believe me, non of them are really who they pretend to be.

For the simple fact of tracing. Imprisoment, for breach of the conduct.

60 Years, at Least is what I am saying.

Although I would like to hear your calculations Tim, for educational purposes only.

Insider.

I mean really does anyone think that someone from any governmental agency would be allowed to disclose that kind of info? And would they really take a chance by telling everyone they work for whatever agency? I mean it wouldnt be like the movie Armagedon, because it would cause to much mass chaos round the world to release that kind of info...... Maybe someone from Nasa really does write on this site, but I'm sure they would keep their real idenity as well as job to themselves for fear factor reasons.

No one is allowed to post information, that has been agreed on a mature basis that is it not allowed to be published.

Once signed, you are basically owned.

Jobs wise, I can't say anyone is really bothered, if your dad worked for NASA, I am sure as a child you would tell your friends and teachers at school.

Identity, that is not really a bothered option either, unless you are releasing material which is "Classified".

The inforation you require is here...

echo.jpl.nasa.gov...

please run future projections for yourselves if you don't believe me....

Tim.

Originally posted by JPL_Insider
No, Toutatis will not Hit Earth at all. Not for at least another 60 years.
Insider.

I find it hard to believe that anyone can say it will not hit us in another 60 years.
Toutatis� orbit is so chaotic and it could easily (likely) change, specially over such long timescale as 60 years.

[edit on 2004/9/28 by Hellmutt]

Tim, Forgive me for not understanding, but what are you meant to be showing me about the JPL Nasa Website?

Date 1992 Dec 8 1996 Nov 29 2000 Oct 31 2004 Sep 29
hh:mm 05:37 22:54 04:31 13:37

Dist AU 0.0241484197 0.0354303011 0.0738653055 0.0103592320

Take a look at the following data. We realise significantly that the Astronomical U nit has dropped majorly in the past for years, from 2000 - 2004. From 0.7AU, to 0.1AU. Toutatis does have a very strange cycle, but just because now it is 0.1Au away, this does not mean that, in the years to come it will hit, or be closer. If anything, Toutatis will be further away when it next arrives.

Take my word for it, you will most probably not encounter any "Earth Catastrophic Asteroid" in your lifetime.

Insider.

i've heard as such that toutatis is not really an asteroid at all but something else much more threatening than the masses need be aware about, but i'm not sure where i heard it from... damn, after all these hours tooling on the internet, i must say, my brain is shortcurcuiting.

Originally posted by Hellmutt

Originally posted by JPL_Insider
No, Toutatis will not Hit Earth at all. Not for at least another 60 years.
Insider.

I find it hard to believe that anyone can say it will not hit us in another 60 years.
Toutatis� orbit is so chaotic and it could easily (likely) change, specially over such long timescale as 60 years.

[edit on 2004/9/28 by Hellmutt]

I agree that Toutatis does have a Chaotic Orbit. And his Hard to predict, but that is not saying JPL does not have the technology to plot the paths of Toutatis from now till 60 years time.

Insider.

Originally posted by JPL_Insider
Toutatis does have a very strange cycle...

Yes, as I also stated, but you probably didn�t see b/c we posted almost simultaneous.

Originally posted by JPL_Insider
Take my word for it, you will most probably not encounter any "Earth Catastrophic Asteroid" in your lifetime.

Have to agree with you here.
Toutatis will not be an "Earth Catastrophic Asteroid" even if it hit.
But would certainly cause havoc in the area surrounding the "ground zero".
And an "Earth Catastrophic Asteroid" is unlikely in our lifetime.
Not impossible, but unlikely.

Originally posted by JPL_Insider

Originally posted by Hellmutt

Originally posted by JPL_Insider
No, Toutatis will not Hit Earth at all. Not for at least another 60 years.
Insider.

I find it hard to believe that anyone can say it will not hit us in another 60 years.
Toutatis� orbit is so chaotic and it could easily (likely) change, specially over such long timescale as 60 years.

[edit on 2004/9/28 by Hellmutt]

I agree that Toutatis does have a Chaotic Orbit. And his Hard to predict, but that is not saying JPL does not have the technology to plot the paths of Toutatis from now till 60 years time.

Insider.

I have run a very comprehensive simulation based on the figures achieved from the jpl site and I can tell you that it does come into contact with the Earth estimated Nov 2012 + or - 8 years.

Tim.

2012, No.

What makes you say this, if that was correct, then i am sure, most people would give up there daily lives to prepare for what was coming.

And, JPL, would NOT announce it right away, not this early anyways.

2012, Utter Rubbish.

Have to agree with you here.
Toutatis will not be an "Earth Catastrophic Asteroid" even if it hit.
But would certainly cause havoc in the area surrounding the "ground zero".
And an "Earth Catastrophic Asteroid" is unlikely in our lifetime.
Not impossible, but unlikely.

Very well put. It would not be an ECA, but would devastate greatly, and could most likely wipe out 85% of the world inhabitants. Little would survive after that.

And as you nicely put, not impossible, but unlikely.

Insider.