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Originally posted by InnerPeace2012
Originally posted by Calex1987
Originally posted by josh2009s
So this is not good?
eh just means the magnetic shield that surrounds the earth and blocks most of the shots from a flare is currently going into the 12th round with ali....and its not looking good....which means if it does go down a nd a big one goes off the planet is susceptible to it and it would cause more problems then if the shield was at full...such as more sats getting knocked out of power power grids going down ect..
Apparently, it's not just power grids we're talking here...
Nasa Issues Warning of Solar Superstorm 2012 - "One Billion Could Die!"
Given the weakening magnetosphere, if this is confirmed.edit on 27-9-2011 by InnerPeace2012 because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by GrinchNoMore
reply to post by Calex1987
You don't think a billion could die if the electronics went out ??
The way many people are it is definitely a possibility.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at moderate levels on day one (27 September). Low to moderate levels are expected on day two (28 September) and predominantly low levels are expected on day three (29 September). Region 1302 remains the most active Region on the disk but has only produced one M-class event over the past 24 hours.
Early Autumn Geomagetic Storm
A Geomagnetic Storm, now at the G2 (Moderate) level and now forecast to reach the G3 (Strong) level began following a shock arrival today (Sept 26) at 1237Z (8:37am, Eastern). This storm is a result of a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) that erupted from the Sun on Saturday morning.
Customers who may be affected, power grid operators, satellite operators, commercial airlines, etc., have been notified and are taking appropriate actions to minimize any adverse impacts.
We’re still early in the storm, waiting for the predicted higher levels of activity to occur and no impacts have yet been reported to SWPC – these will be contained in a For The Record that will follow this event at its completion.
We can consider this a near miss because we’re only seeing the flanks of the CME. If this one had been headed directly at the Earth, then severe (G4) to extreme (G5) storming would have been likely. Also, the storm duration will be limited to about 12 hours, rather than the 24-36 hours that a direct hit could cause.
The active region responsible for the CME is moving into a more geo-effective position and will remain capable of sending more activity our way for several days. In the past 24 hours, a slight decrease in the frequency of activity has been noted, but the region remains capable of emitting strong storms.
The most likely locations for aurora from this storm are Europe and Asia, but activity could persist long enough for North American viewers. The maps below show likely visibility of aurora keyed to Green (G1), Yellow (G3), and Red (G5)
“We’ve just learned that some flares are many times stronger than previously thought,” says University of Colorado physicist Tom Woods who led the research team. “Solar flares were already the biggest explosions in the solar system—and this discovery makes them even bigger.”
"Even a below-average cycle is capable of producing severe space weather," points out Biesecker. "The great geomagnetic storm of 1859, for instance, occurred during a solar cycle of about the same size we’re predicting for 2013."