This is an exclusive interview with one of Hong Kong's leading experts on the reality behind the talk and bunk thrown around the political arena.
I posed several questions to a top Hong Kong expert on behind-the-scenes politics, who has lectured to Yale and Stanford professors, on what is
perceived by the West as a developing crisis in Asia. Obviously, the big issue has been North Korea, and Chinese-Taiwan relationships.
Since this interview was about half an hour long, I'll be summarising.
On Taiwan-China, what most people dont know is that 60% of China's exports are controlled by Hong Kong or Taiwan people. As such, they need them to
reinvest in industry and develop it, because the Mainland Chinese business men are too corrupt. Obviously, a big question has been posed about the US
Carrier groups being sent out to Asia, and it is only a flex of the muscle, another little shouting match, but there will be no consequences of it.
Taiwan's army has the military and technological edge over China, and as such, any invasion by China, lacking any serious navy, would result in their
destruction. However, if China were to attack Taiwan, the US would not come to Taiwan's aid, as it's technically supposed to do, because of China
and US' inherent dependancy on each other. The US also need China, because China has influence on North Korea, and can play North Korea the way
North Korea, another key issue, is believed only to be bluffing about nuclear weapons, because it gives it a platform to negotiate with the US to get
what it wants.
The reason why China and Taiwan are investing so much in their microchip industries is because they are reliant on them for their military, as it all
comes out of the military budget, which helps to produce CPUs that, if war comes, will have to be self-produced instead of relied on the US to
provide, for the warring machines.
China is only using Taiwan as such a large funnel for aggression because it provides someone they can blame outside of their country, for their own
failings, and as such, helps quieten the population.
On Iraq and Bush;
He thinks Bush will lose this election. Blair will resign in the coming week perhaps, after the Butler report comes out, with Mi6's criticisms of how
Blair used the intelligence they provided. Iraq will be left to it's own devices very shortly, and the Taleban are re-taking control of Afghanistan,
hence the rush to force the elections.
There'll be more when I can remember it.
[edit on 11-7-2004 by browha]
[edit on 11-7-2004 by John bull 1]