It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
Originally posted by shrike071
I'm going out on a wire here and predicting this at 100%. My gut tells me that it'll be more like a week from Halloween, but we'll see.
As with any virus, there are many that are simply carriers and don't know it. Unlike most other viruses, science has recently discovered that those with H1N1 are capable of shedding the virus long after the symptoms have gone away. Add to this that H1N1 also will present without any fever whatsoever (a hallmark of the regular flu) and this bug starts to look exceptionally catchy, indeed.
Viruses like this are spread via direct contact with the saliva or other excretions of the infected. The sick person blows their nose, rubs their eyes, coughs or sneezes into their hands, touches something or someone and then transfers the virus to the recipient.
Here's where the prediction comes in:
There are hundreds of thousands, if not millions of carriers out there that don't know they have the flu, or think that they just have a cold due to the lack of fever. They'll be coughing, sneezing and blowing their noses, and probably not washing their hands like they should. These people will be opening their doors to countless children tonight and giving them candy, along with the added "trick" of their H1N1 virus.
Within 6 days, those that are infected with the virus will become symptomatic.
Between tonight and whenever these kid's parents realize their child is sick, the little one will be at school - passing around the bug virtually unimpeded. 6 days later, when Johnny is sick, that bug will be starting to takeover a whole other set of households.
Two weeks from now - our percentage of infected people will have skyrocketed and it will be due to Halloween - almost the perfect transmission vehicle.
[edit on 31-10-2009 by shrike071]
Originally posted by Cloudsinthesky
If you just found the info from two months ago........how do you have the knowledge to base an opinion to start a thread that two weeks from now all hell is going to break loose?
[edit on 31-10-2009 by Cloudsinthesky]
Do those bowls of candy kids are reaching for provide the means of spreading swine flu?
“It's a possibility,” deputy Sonoma County Public Health Officer Mark Netherda said.
But like other experts, Netherda said the problem is easily ameliorated by having someone in good health with clean hands pass out the candy instead of letting kids grab for it - or even scoop it with a utensil into trick-or-treaters' bags.
“The designated dispenser - instead of the designated driver,” Netherda said - though he's in favor of the latter, too.
The H1N1 virus that causes swine flu can survive for as long as eight hours once its deposited on a surface.
Spreading it through candy wrappers and bowls is somewhat hypothetical, Netherda said, though one can imagine a young trick-or-treater wiping his nose, reaching for a candy and leaving behind some unwanted contaminants that could infect the next child if he or she were to touch his eyes, nose or mouth.
The fix is to do the kind of things health experts have been advising for months: use tissues, keep hands clean and avoid touching one's nose, mouth and eyes.