2 weeks from Halloween there'll be a MASSIVE outbreak. Here's why:, page 1
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ATS Members have flagged this thread 6 times
Topic started on 31-10-2009 @ 02:06 PM by shrike071
I'm going out on a wire here and predicting this at 100%. My gut tells me that it'll be more like a week from Halloween, but we'll see.

As with any virus, there are many that are simply carriers and don't know it. Unlike most other viruses, science has recently discovered that those with H1N1 are capable of shedding the virus long after the symptoms have gone away. Add to this that H1N1 also will present without any fever whatsoever (a hallmark of the regular flu) and this bug starts to look exceptionally catchy, indeed.

Viruses like this are spread via direct contact with the saliva or other excretions of the infected. The sick person blows their nose, rubs their eyes, coughs or sneezes into their hands, touches something or someone and then transfers the virus to the recipient.

Here's where the prediction comes in:

Candy



There are hundreds of thousands, if not millions of carriers out there that don't know they have the flu, or think that they just have a cold due to the lack of fever. They'll be coughing, sneezing and blowing their noses, and probably not washing their hands like they should. These people will be opening their doors to countless children tonight and giving them candy, along with the added "trick" of their H1N1 virus.

Within 6 days, those that are infected with the virus will become symptomatic.

Between tonight and whenever these kid's parents realize their child is sick, the little one will be at school - passing around the bug virtually unimpeded. 6 days later, when Johnny is sick, that bug will be starting to takeover a whole other set of households.

Two weeks from now - our percentage of infected people will have skyrocketed and it will be due to Halloween - almost the perfect transmission vehicle.

[edit on 31-10-2009 by shrike071]


reply posted on 31-10-2009 @ 02:20 PM by deathpoet69
Originally posted by shrike071
I'm going out on a wire here and predicting this at 100%. My gut tells me that it'll be more like a week from Halloween, but we'll see.

As with any virus, there are many that are simply carriers and don't know it. Unlike most other viruses, science has recently discovered that those with H1N1 are capable of shedding the virus long after the symptoms have gone away. Add to this that H1N1 also will present without any fever whatsoever (a hallmark of the regular flu) and this bug starts to look exceptionally catchy, indeed.

Viruses like this are spread via direct contact with the saliva or other excretions of the infected. The sick person blows their nose, rubs their eyes, coughs or sneezes into their hands, touches something or someone and then transfers the virus to the recipient.

Here's where the prediction comes in:

Candy



There are hundreds of thousands, if not millions of carriers out there that don't know they have the flu, or think that they just have a cold due to the lack of fever. They'll be coughing, sneezing and blowing their noses, and probably not washing their hands like they should. These people will be opening their doors to countless children tonight and giving them candy, along with the added "trick" of their H1N1 virus.

Within 6 days, those that are infected with the virus will become symptomatic.

Between tonight and whenever these kid's parents realize their child is sick, the little one will be at school - passing around the bug virtually unimpeded. 6 days later, when Johnny is sick, that bug will be starting to takeover a whole other set of households.

Two weeks from now - our percentage of infected people will have skyrocketed and it will be due to Halloween - almost the perfect transmission vehicle.

[edit on 31-10-2009 by shrike071]


good job i dint answer the door to them, aslong as i don't get it i dont care and i certainly dont care if the kids get it, but kids are perfect for the agenda to spread virus's... i dont think it will happen 2 week from now they might be a few but i doubt it, there dont seem to be anything happening with kids getting anything not on a mass scale


reply posted on 31-10-2009 @ 02:30 PM by UmbraSumus
reply to post by shrike071



Hey - its plausible .

Perhaps you could check to see if there has been a spike in flu etc. numbers around Halloween every year.


reply posted on 31-10-2009 @ 02:33 PM by deathpoet69










reply posted on 31-10-2009 @ 03:04 PM by Sir Solomon
reply to post by stuSyd



Yes. If they had a runny nose or let their saliva loose (ew both ways) then the virus will be in the tank.

I also think that there are some other reasonable reasons to think that the Halloween event will likely cause an increase in infections:

--Sugar--Kids for the next several days will be chowing down on goods that will damage their immune system and their parents will not care since Halloween lands on a weekend.

--Proximity-- This targets the college crowd since I've made it a point to observe their activity since I'm in a Division I college town. They'll party and go out to the bars for any reason, but from both assumption and asking around, this weekend is one of the worst since every bar has a costume contest. The addition of sugar above will likely play a part as well.

--Cold Weather-- Most of the nation is not in a warm period right now. With the fact that most costumes are now flimsy and its macho to bear the cold, I suspect that being out in the cold for several hours will hurt the immune system, leaving their defenses weakened.

Those are the three big things that pop in my head when I saw this. Despite this I'm not sure that it would be a catastrophic increase, but an increase is highly likely.


reply posted on 31-10-2009 @ 04:31 PM by marg6043
reply to post by shrike071



I think you theory may be correct but not in the way you may think with the candy, the mist version of the vaccine is been given to a lot of children this version can spread the virus up to 6 weeks after the mist is given children going out for the candy that has received the mist version of swine flu vaccine will be spreading their love among all those that comes in contact with them.

Sorry people but this year I am closing my door to Halloween celebration.


reply posted on 31-10-2009 @ 05:00 PM by crw2006
reply to post by crw2006



I take back what I said somewhat. Just came back from trick or treating with the kids. I can see how it could spread more rapidly, kids touching doorbells, getting candy from sick people. In fact there was one house we went where the girl was ill handing out candy.


reply posted on 31-10-2009 @ 05:22 PM by marg6043
reply to post by shrike071



Thanks for bringing this up, I can only tell all those out there that has not gotten the vaccine and neither the swine flu yet, to be very careful as the streets Will be full with children and adults handling candy and spreading whatever is around.

We may find out also how many of the vaccinated will come down sick also.
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