posted on Jun, 25 2009 @ 10:39 PM
I don't know what ticks me off more...that they keep doing this or that they think we are so stupid we won't figure it out:
Like a Fourth of July crescendo of fireworks, our gasoline prices are rising higher and higher. While this is tough on consumers, we're assured
by a covey of tongue-clucking industry analysts that nothing can be done about it, for it's simply the law of supply and demand in action -- so suck
it up, and pay up.
But hold your BPExxonMobilShellChevron horses right there. Supply and demand? The supply of crude oil has risen this year to its highest level in
nearly two decades, even while the demand for gasoline has dropped dramatically, having fallen this month to a 10-year low. Let's see -- supply up,
demand down. That's a classic market formula for cheaper prices at the pump. Yet our prices have steadily moved up, rising by two-thirds since the
beginning of the year (and by 60 cents a gallon in the past two months alone).
What's going on here is not the "magic of the marketplace," but some hocus-pocus by brand-name dealers. What might surprise you, though, is that
the wheeler-dealers now jacking up our pump prices don't operate under the BPExxonMobilShellChevron brands -- but the logos of Goldman Sachs, Morgan
Stanley and other Wall Street traders that have been placing vast, unregulated, secretive bets on the future price of oil. They're playing an
electronic casino game in a global "dark market" of exotic derivatives and credit swaps.
Did they learn nothing from last year!!??
The there's this from the same guy who compared America 2008 to the fall of the USSR:
There does seem to be a consensus forming that last year's financial crash was precipitated by the spike in oil prices last summer, when oil
briefly touched $147/bbl. Why this should have happened seems rather obvious. Since most things in a fully developed, industrialised economy run on
oil, it is not an optional purchase: for a given level of economic activity, a certain level of oil consumption is required, and so one simply pays
the price for as long as access to credit is maintained, and after that suddenly it's game over. François Cellier has recently published an analysis
in which he shows that at roughly $600/bbl the entire world's GDP would be required to pay for oil energy, leaving no money for putting it to any
sort of interesting use. At that price level, we can't even afford to take delivery of it. In fact, at that price level, we can't even afford to
pump it out of the ground, because the tool pushers, roughnecks and roustabouts that make oil rigs work don't drink the oil, and there would no
longer be room in the budget for beer.
And so, the actual limiting price, beyond which no economic activity is possible, is certainly a lot lower, and last summer we seem to have
experimentally established that to be around $150/bbl. which is something like 256% of global GDP. We may never run out of oil, but we have already
run out of money with which to buy it, at least once, and will most likely do so again and again, until we learn the lesson.
So basically, it won't take $147 dollars a barrel to tank the economy this year too, but something less however undefined.
When paired with this
thread, it kind of makes me want to run screaming to the grocery
store, the bank and the pawn shop for a gun.
[edit on 25-6-2009 by Sergeant Stiletto]