It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
originally posted by: GetHyped
a reply to: Barcs
Amazing how people think 4.5 BILLION years isn't enough time without even bothering to show any calculations.
Their model does not mimic natural selection at all. In one generation, according to the model, some number of potentially adaptive mutations may occur, each most likely in a different individual. W&E postulate that these mutations remain in the population and are not changed. Contrary to their intention, this event is not yet evolution, because the mutations have occurred only in single individuals and have not become characteristic of the population. Moreover, W&E have ignored the important fact that a single mutation, even if it has a large selection coefficient, has a high probability of disappearing through random effects[4]. They allow further mutations only in those loci that have not mutated into the "superior" form. It is not clear if they intended that mutations be forbidden in those mutated loci only in those individuals that have the mutation or in other individuals as well. They have ignored the fact that evolution does not occur until an adaptive mutation has taken over the population and thereby becomes a characteristic of the population. Their letter-guessing game is more a parody of the evolutionary process than a model of it. They have not achieved their second goal either.
Thus their conclusion that "there's plenty of time for evolution" is unsubstantiated. The probability calculation to justify evolutionary theory remains unaddressed.
originally posted by: vasaga
a reply to: Barcs
Yeah... Except the link you posted didn't prove anything. My concerns weren't addressed, and apparently there are more people with the same concern, which can actually word it better than I can.
Their model does not mimic natural selection at all. In one generation, according to the model, some number of potentially adaptive mutations may occur, each most likely in a different individual. W&E postulate that these mutations remain in the population and are not changed. Contrary to their intention, this event is not yet evolution, because the mutations have occurred only in single individuals and have not become characteristic of the population. Moreover, W&E have ignored the important fact that a single mutation, even if it has a large selection coefficient, has a high probability of disappearing through random effects[4]. They allow further mutations only in those loci that have not mutated into the "superior" form. It is not clear if they intended that mutations be forbidden in those mutated loci only in those individuals that have the mutation or in other individuals as well. They have ignored the fact that evolution does not occur until an adaptive mutation has taken over the population and thereby becomes a characteristic of the population. Their letter-guessing game is more a parody of the evolutionary process than a model of it. They have not achieved their second goal either.
Thus their conclusion that "there's plenty of time for evolution" is unsubstantiated. The probability calculation to justify evolutionary theory remains unaddressed.
www.trueorigin.org...
Info on the writer
Don't know why I bother posting this anyway. It's gonna go on deaf ears since the bias is too strong in this group. But, I'm glad I confirmed for myself that I can actually think and comprehend the arguments presented from either side, rather than being on repeat mode without understanding anything.
When we're talking about calculations, I trust a physicist way more than a biologist.
The argument I used against you that you didn't actually comprehend, I came up with it myself. I simply was sent that article by someone on here, confirming my problems with the so-called calculation, and the physicist had the same concern as me. I'm not the one who's regurgitating. You're the one that's constantly regurgitating everything you have been taught about evolution. If you were actually capable of thinking for yourself, you'd be questioning as much as I am. But in your world, questioning evolution is not allowable, because that's the foundation of your emotional stability.
originally posted by: Barcs
Trueorigin.org, really? So regurgitating something from an anti evolution site means you can think and comprehend the arguments?
Every time I post one you dismiss it anyway. You think adaptive mutation is a fantasy. Even though there are enough papers on it.
originally posted by: Barcs
Where's the peer reviewed scientific research paper that confirms these claims?
Where 'actual' means 'what Barcs believes in' right? And where exactly did I instantly dismiss anything? I asked you a bunch of questions you couldn't answer. I didn't dismiss anything instantly. I dismissed it since you couldn't explain the questions accordingly. It's something you people tout on about constantly. "If you can't prove it I have no reason to believe in it". That's your mantra right? But when I do the same thing, I'm the one that's dismissing things instantly. And then you call me a hypocrite. Very funny.
originally posted by: Barcs
Why is it that you instantly dismiss the ACTUAL science paper
Oh really? I didn't see any indication that it's actually peer-reviewed. But even if that's the case, if it's the church reviewing something about Jesus, of course we wouldn't expect any objective review, but delusional support of imagined bliss.
originally posted by: Barcs
and it's calculations that have been peer reviewed over a single person's claim from a clearly biased site?
Same goes for you. You intentionally ignore every study that disagrees with conventional darwinian evolution while thinking every single pro darwinian evolution rant is dead on accurate.
originally posted by: Barcs
You intentionally ignore every study that agrees with evolution while thinking every single anti evolution rant is dead on accurate. And yet you call everyone else biased. That's hilarious, I'm sorry.
Peer review only matters where it suits your needs. When I posted the long list of peer reviewed papers saying that the cambrian explosion is sudden, it didn't matter to you that they were peer-reviewed. I was the one that was 'misrepreseting' something even though what I said was clearly stated multiple times. Your bias is uncanny.
originally posted by: Barcs
When we're talking about evolution, I trust a biologist. Calculations are done in all fields of science. And peer review matters. Wild creationist claims backed by nothing do not.
originally posted by: vasaga
The argument I used against you that you didn't actually comprehend, I came up with it myself. I simply was sent that article by someone on here, confirming my problems with the so-called calculation, and the physicist had the same concern as me. I'm not the one who's regurgitating. You're the one that's constantly regurgitating everything you have been taught about evolution. If you were actually capable of thinking for yourself, you'd be questioning as much as I am. But in your world, questioning evolution is not allowable, because that's the foundation of your emotional stability.
Every time I post one you dismiss it anyway. You think adaptive mutation is a fantasy. Even though there are enough papers on it.
Where 'actual' means 'what Barcs believes in' right? And where exactly did I instantly dismiss anything? I asked you a bunch of questions you couldn't answer. I didn't dismiss anything instantly. I dismissed it since you couldn't explain the questions accordingly. It's something you people tout on about constantly. "If you can't prove it I have no reason to believe in it". That's your mantra right? But when I do the same thing, I'm the one that's dismissing things instantly. And then you call me a hypocrite. Very funny.
originally posted by: Barcs
Oh really? I didn't see any indication that it's actually peer-reviewed. But even if that's the case, if it's the church reviewing something about Jesus, of course we wouldn't expect any objective review, but delusional support of imagined bliss.
All research papers published in PNAS are peer-reviewed.[1] The standard mode is for papers to be submitted directly to PNAS rather than going through an Academy member.
Suppose for a moment that a computer's password is 12 letters long. Simple math dictates that because there are 12 characters in the password and 26 letters in the alphabet, there are approximately 10,000,000,000,000,000 (26 to the 12th power) possible iterations of the password.
One way to hack this password would be to guess a random string of 12 letters and keep doing so until the right combination was found. That process, however, would take an extremely long time.
A better strategy, Wilf said, would be to use a "spy." After each guess, the spy could tell the hacker which, if any, of the 12 letters were correct. If, for instance, the spy told the hacker that two of the 12 letters were correct, it would leave only 10 letters to be discovered. Extrapolate that spying-and-guessing process over the entire hack attempt, and it's clear that the amount of time required would be greatly reduced.
"When you have this spy inside, it means that each letter is essentially operating independently in the [password] you're trying to guess," Wilf said. "Instead of trying to worry about the whole word, you just have to worry about each letter individually. When you get it right, it stays there; it doesn't change."
Simple, Wilf said. In the case of evolution, the hacker is evolution itself. The password is the string of codons that describes, for example, a butterfly. And the spy is natural selection.
"If, when we guess the full string of letters [for a new species], one of the letters is correct — for instance, one that describes correctly the eyes of a butterfly — then that letter has survival value," he said.
"It will not be discarded as future mutations take place because the intermediate creatures are seeing very well, and they will live and reproduce. So although it seems at first glance that the process of random mutations will take a very long time to produce a higher organism, thanks to the spying of natural selection, the process can go very rapidly.
“In the paper, these ideas are precisely quantified, according to this model, and the extent of the speedup is found. It is enormous, and shows that there is indeed plenty of time for evolution."
Same goes for you. You intentionally ignore every study that disagrees with conventional darwinian evolution while thinking every single pro darwinian evolution rant is dead on accurate.
originally posted by: Barcs
Peer review only matters where it suits your needs. When I posted the long list of peer reviewed papers saying that the cambrian explosion is sudden, it didn't matter to you that they were peer-reviewed. I was the one that was 'misrepreseting' something even though what I said was clearly stated multiple times. Your bias is uncanny.
originally posted by: nottwoispeacefan
Thanks, Hydeman, for sharing your opinions.
I don't think the article depends on its author's credibility or status. So I wouldn't worry about that so much. Sometimes people with the most status or supposed credibility can still be wrong or make mistakes. Which is what I love about thinking for oneself. It's great to experiment with sometimes.
If you think it's ignorant to question the idea of evolution, but you won't say why, then I guess I must bid you good day and good luck.
At first I thought you were saying that modern biology disproved the theory of evolution, but eventually by the end of your comment I deduced that you still do believe in evolution. Well, good for you. It's good to have faith in something, I suppose. Evolution just isn't for me, I've decided.
the idea that as humans we evolved from lizards and microbes through a process of competition and violence, with the strong surviving while the weaker members of the species die off in the struggle for life.
I feel I have to say this because I find that when I try to talk about Darwinism with some people, their eyes glaze over and they start panicking and saying things like:
Evolution HAS to be true because the only alternative is an old man up in the sky, with a white beard.
2. Meet some scientists
Most of us think that we are working in evolutionary research. But is its explanatory power any more than verbal?…
“Evolution” not only conveys no knowledge, but seems somehow to convey anti-knowledge…3
Do you see the distinction? Darwinism – right or wrong – proposes to explain the origin of life itself, as well as the origin of entire classes of plants and animals.
Selective breeding, by contrast, merely selects traits that are already in the gene pool – it doesn’t create new genes or turn one species into another. Nobody has selectively bred birds and been able to get a dog as a result.
As human beings, we devise theories to help us explain what we observe. But can a theory ever be proven 100% true? Technically, no, because tomorrow’s evidence may disprove today’s theory. So strictly speaking a theory can never be “proven” – only disproven, or tentatively accepted so long as it fits the facts.
Likewise, the history of science is filled with one theory after another either being refined or scrapped as new evidence comes in. Theories themselves are not considered “sacred” – they are merely one part of the scientific method.
5. Common DNA sequences – do they prove Darwinism?
If my theory be true, numberless intermediate varieties… must assuredly have existed.7
- Charles Darwin
I just did a search to see if there are any other evolutionary links between apes and humans that have been put forward in the last century or two – because I remember hearing about this stuff all the time when I was a teenager. No – nothing credible has ever been put forward, that I could find.
If I knew of any fossil (showing an evolutionary link between human and ape) I would certainly have included them in my book. I will lay it on the line – there is not one such fossil.
7. Evidence that disproves evolution: irreducible complexity
The modern theory of evolution says that living organisms happened by chance, through a series of random mutations which, over time, somehow created life in the first place, and then led to better and better organisms
Say you have a little bacterium guy. The little guy is doing great, living and thriving and reproducing, and then something happens – a mutation. The theory of evolution says that this one mutation, this single error – like a single bug in a piece of computer software – causes the little guy to suddenly have next-order abilities and survival powers that it never had before.
It’s like if you drop your laptop and damage a sector on the hard drive. But you find that, instead of causing problems, your laptop now has 10 brand-new fully-functional and extremely elegant apps on it that never existed before.
Here’s the thing about mutations: they make you worse off, they don’t improve your genetics. This is why we don’t move to Chernobyl to raise our families.
Natural selection does not explain the origin of life or the origin of DNA, so this is another problem with the theory of evolution – a problem which Charles Darwin did not address.
To replace the theory of evolution, some scientists have coined the term “intelligent design”. It’s not a theory or an explanation, as I understand it, nor is it a theological dogma. In fact it doesn’t answer or explain anything!
As I understand it, it’s basically a phrase that a few scientists used in some papers and books when they found that evolutionary theory didn’t match reality and yet they still were expected to use words to summarize their findings.
You cannot have two lizards mate and have a baby monkey be born to them with brand new genes that come out of thin air.
Natural selection and random mutations do not create brand new genes – not all at once and not through a gradual process over generations. This has been shown to be scientifically impossible by the scientists quoted in this article, and many others besides.
Think of it like altering a line of code. If you change one line of code, it isn't going to change much in the overall program. BUT, if you change multiple lines of code over time and use it with different environments (types of computers) the program will begin to look more different. The changes may happen slowly but the end product can be much different than the original. It's like going from MS-DOS to Windows 8. Did that happen overnight? Did a random computer bug cause that, or did the program change over time, a little bit each release?
I'm not addressing the politics section, it's completely irrelevant to the validity of evolution
originally posted by: nottwoispeacefan
Are you suggesting that someone or something intentionally rewrote the DNA of lizards to turn them into monkeys?
Usually evolution-believers say that evolution happens through random chance. The DNA is damaged, it gets repaired. No mutations get passed on to the next generation.
Missense mutation (illustration)
This type of mutation is a change in one DNA base pair that results in the substitution of one amino acid for another in the protein made by a gene.
Nonsense mutation (illustration)
A nonsense mutation is also a change in one DNA base pair. Instead of substituting one amino acid for another, however, the altered DNA sequence prematurely signals the cell to stop building a protein. This type of mutation results in a shortened protein that may function improperly or not at all.
Insertion (illustration)
An insertion changes the number of DNA bases in a gene by adding a piece of DNA. As a result, the protein made by the gene may not function properly.
Deletion (illustration)
A deletion changes the number of DNA bases by removing a piece of DNA. Small deletions may remove one or a few base pairs within a gene, while larger deletions can remove an entire gene or several neighboring genes. The deleted DNA may alter the function of the resulting protein(s).
Duplication (illustration)
A duplication consists of a piece of DNA that is abnormally copied one or more times. This type of mutation may alter the function of the resulting protein.
Frameshift mutation (illustration)
This type of mutation occurs when the addition or loss of DNA bases changes a gene’s reading frame. A reading frame consists of groups of 3 bases that each code for one amino acid. A frameshift mutation shifts the grouping of these bases and changes the code for amino acids. The resulting protein is usually nonfunctional. Insertions, deletions, and duplications can all be frameshift mutations.
Repeat expansion (illustration)
Nucleotide repeats are short DNA sequences that are repeated a number of times in a row. For example, a trinucleotide repeat is made up of 3-base-pair sequences, and a tetranucleotide repeat is made up of 4-base-pair sequences. A repeat expansion is a mutation that increases the number of times that the short DNA sequence is repeated. This type of mutation can cause the resulting protein to function improperly.
But in rare cases, a bad mutation does get passed on, which causes serious problems.
Somehow, an entire new gene (miraculously) pops into existence.
Again, I think evolution is a beautiful idea, a beautiful theory, a beautiful belief system. I used to believe in it myself. I just don't see any evidence for it, in terms of intermediate species nor any evidence on a molecular level that it can happen.
Shouldn't people who propose this theory be encouraged to try to try to prove it, rather than just saying it "can't be questioned" - as if it were religious doctrine that we were afraid to closely examine?
I still think the article on evolution I mentioned is pretty good at trying to look at the subject from a scientific or logical standpoint.
If you feel politics aren't relevant to science, you're free to believe that. I'm just not sure it works that way.
That's a great article.. I loved this part at the beginning, since it basically describes almost every single evolution promoter in here..
originally posted by: nottwoispeacefan
I saw a pretty good article about this recently:
Darwin’s theory of evolution: good science or faulty philosophy?
It goes into how the theory of evolution does not seem very logical, when you take the time to look at it scientifically, and how the theory seemingly did not originate with Charles Darwin at all. Seems like a well-written article, and maybe useful to show some people, if you're open to the article's conclusions of course.
To reduce my anxiety, I developed the attitude that ridicule, contempt and avoidance were probably the best ways to relate to non-evolution believers.