Swine Flu Is Spreading Wider Than Official Data Show, page 1
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Topic started on 26-5-2009 @ 11:25 AM by ChemBreather
Bloomberg.com


May 25 (Bloomberg) -- Swine flu is spreading more widely than official figures indicate, with outbreaks in Europe and Asia showing it’s gained a foothold in at least three regions.

One in 20 cases is being officially reported in the U.S., meaning more than 100,000 people have probably been infected nationwide with the new H1N1 flu strain, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In the U.K., the virus may be 300 times more widespread than health authorities have said, the Independent on Sunday reported yesterday.


Summer Disease?

“While we are seeing activities decline in some areas, we should expect to see more cases, more hospitalizations and perhaps more deaths over the weeks ahead and possibly into the summer,” Anne Schuchat, CDC’s interim deputy director for science and public health program, told reporters on a May 22 conference call.

The U.S. has officially reported 6,552 probable and confirmed cases, Schuchat said. “These are just the tip of the iceberg. We are estimating more than 100,000 people probably have this virus now in the U.S.”

Mod Edit: Title tweak and moved to correct forum

[edit on 26 May 09 by Gools]


reply posted on 1-6-2009 @ 06:35 AM by CultureD
And it seems that the UK agrees:

www.mirror.co.uk...

Prof Oxford, of the University of London, said the virus would increase its power as it spreads and the pandemic will hit before a vaccine - to cover about 15 per cent of the population - is available in October or November.

It is currently estimated up to 50 per cent of the population may get infected by swine flu but the professor warned this might be "on the low side". He added: "The virus will be like a bushfire."


I expect that this prediction is similar to all public health researchers. Bit scary to see such a prediction in print.


reply posted on 1-6-2009 @ 06:40 AM by CultureD
And in South America-

Chile's cases are exploding, and resort areas are being accused of underreporting cases in an attempt to keep tourist rates up:

www.google.com...

In the Dominican Republic officials confirmed nine cases of the disease, raising the country's total to 11, a day after Santo Domingo rebuffed a Russian claim that the Caribbean island was underreporting its cases in a bid to boost tourism.

We fear that in reality, the situation is very different," Gennady Onishchenko, Russia's chief sanitary inspector, had told the Interfax news agency in response to the island reporting only two cases.

On Sunday the island's Ministry of Public Health reported that of the nine new cases one had been hospitalized.

SANTIAGO (AFP) — Chilean health authorities confirmed 26 new cases of swine flu, raising the number of patients with A(H1N1) virus in the country to 276, the highest number on the continent.

The sometimes-deadly disease continued its rise across Latin America meanwhile with Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Peru and the Dominican Republic all reporting new cases.




[edit on 1-6-2009 by CultureD]
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