Of all the unlikely commentators brought on MNF last season, Charles Barkley was probably the best (though that isn't saying much), and he provided
one of my favorite comments in regards to Spygate, when he said something along the lines of how the other commentators would need to explain to him
what the big deal is, since everyone knows everyone else's plays in the NBA.
Now I'm not so insane as to believe there is a 1:1 correlation between the NBA and the NFL, but to some degree, he did have a point. Taping
practices and whatnot can only get you so far -- execution matters. Even if you know exactly whats about to go down, you can still get hosed.
I'll make another point that Kwyjibo sort of touched on, related to the Rams, playbooks, and coaching strategies...
First, NFL playbooks are often *huge.* Al Saunders's playbook is renowned for being among the largest ever compiled. I am pretty sure that Dick
Vermeil used it when he was coached the Rams to their '99 Super Bowl victory, and I am completely certain that Vermeil said that it was well over
700-800 pages (see
this article).
And now a story about my father... He coached football in various formats for nearly 20 years. He was among the most paranoid football coaches that
I have ever known. Even when he was coaching mere High School football, he made it a point to practice plays that he had no intention of calling
during the upcoming games. This was to hedge against the possibility that someone was watching and taking notes or video. To further complicate
matters, he would use formations that looked exactly like the "fake" plays during games, often with the same motion patterns and such as that. If
no one had been watching, then no harm and no foul; but, if any opposing defense relied on spying and adjusted accordingly to what they expected, they
were going to get burned. And he was certainly not working with even a 100 page playbook.
So let's tie these two points together. In the NFL, with so many available plays in similar formations, I feel that the net effect of taping
practices/walk-throughs/etc is minimal. Granted, Mike Martz (if memory serves) was coaching the Rams during the year that this supposedly went down
and I doubt he was using the Saunders playbook, but it is a reasonable assumption that he too has a sufficiently large playbook. Any coach worth his
salt should be hedging against the possibility of spying. If my father was doing it in regular season high school games, certainly it isn't a
stretch to think that at least some NFL coaches regularly do these sorts of things.
All that being said... At the end of the day, it boils down to execution, to players outperforming other players. How many times last year was it
absolutely obvious that Tom Brady was about to drop a long bomb to Randy Moss? And how many times did Moss burn multiple defenders to snag those
passes? You can know precisely what is about to happen, but if the OL can consistently fend off the DL, and if your offensive players in general
execute better than the defense, it doesn't matter if the defense knows what you're doing.
While I do have an issue with the ethical concerns related to spying in sports, I do not believe that you can attribute a Patriots victory over the
Rams to a tape. The Rams lost that Super Bowl (and consequently money), because *they lost,* not because the Patriots watched some tape. The Rams
were a good team that showed up and got outplayed. Ironically, this is exactly the situation in which the Patriots found themselves last season.
They were a great team that was plagued by horrendous execution in the big game. Just my $0.02.
/tn.
[edit on 4-4-2008 by teleonaut]
[edit on 4-4-2008 by teleonaut]