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Originally posted by Phoenix
I still can't discount the possibility of al Qa'ida having WMD, as to the reason for not using them if they have them I think they are waiting for the right conditions to exist.
If they just attacked the US without other co-ordinated operations they know we would squash them while the rest of the world stood by and watched or helped us out of fear of retribution.
Attacks in Iraq were stepped up amid rumors of 20 or so al Qa'ida cells in existance there, further tying down our military even with recent success in capturing al Qa'ida operatives in Iraq.
The Saudi's probably stopped a big attack with the break-up of the al Qa'ida cell during the Haj pilgramage.
More cells likely existed but went to ground with the heavy security in Saudi Arabia during this period.
If conditions of a religious insurrection can be made to happen in a middle eastern nation - take your pick which one, then al Qa'ida can obtain a base of operation or hide in the relatively friendly enviroment of that country after an attack on the US.
If they were to attack now without the above condition being true even hostile states not cooperating at this time would probably not protect them out of self preservation.
A Saudi regime run in the backround by al Qa'ida sympathisers would have two things going for it that might make the US hesitate to use military means to overthrow the regime. One is OIL and the risk that all other middle eastern countries might shut off the taps in response. The second reason is Mecca and Medina as the holiest sites in Islam, would be used to whip up resistance by other islamic nations to any US military response.
The thing to watch is assasination attempts, successful or otherwise as a prelude to action just like in Afganistan before 9-11.
The ceasing of chatter which recently happened, but picked up again after failure of Saudi operation.
Increased smoke and mirror threats to western interests
designed to wear down security efforts.
If all of these things start occuring at the same time, I say watch out here.
Hey now! Don't be bustin' on Ridge's color code!!! That 's not very nice and patriotic!
Originally posted by Phoenix
I still can't discount the possibility of al Qa'ida having WMD, as to the reason for not using them if they have them I think they are waiting for the right conditions to exist.
If they just attacked the US without other co-ordinated operations they know we would squash them while the rest of the world stood by and watched or helped us out of fear of retribution.
Attacks in Iraq were stepped up amid rumors of 20 or so al Qa'ida cells in existance there, further tying down our military even with recent success in capturing al Qa'ida operatives in Iraq.
The Saudi's probably stopped a big attack with the break-up of the al Qa'ida cell during the Haj pilgramage.
More cells likely existed but went to ground with the heavy security in Saudi Arabia during this period.
If conditions of a religious insurrection can be made to happen in a middle eastern nation - take your pick which one, then al Qa'ida can obtain a base of operation or hide in the relatively friendly enviroment of that country after an attack on the US.
If they were to attack now without the above condition being true even hostile states not cooperating at this time would probably not protect them out of self preservation.
A Saudi regime run in the backround by al Qa'ida sympathisers would have two things going for it that might make the US hesitate to use military means to overthrow the regime. One is OIL and the risk that all other middle eastern countries might shut off the taps in response. The second reason is Mecca and Medina as the holiest sites in Islam, would be used to whip up resistance by other islamic nations to any US military response.
The thing to watch is assasination attempts, successful or otherwise as a prelude to action just like in Afganistan before 9-11.
The ceasing of chatter which recently happened, but picked up again after failure of Saudi operation.
Increased smoke and mirror threats to western interests
designed to wear down security efforts.
If all of these things start occuring at the same time, I say watch out here.
Originally posted by KrazyJethro
I was aware, but those articles prove a good point.
But since we are so heavily dependant economically to oil, cars, etc it will take a long time to make the switch.
Not to mention that new technology is expensive. If all cars switched to electric or natural gas today, people would still drive the cars we have today for the next 50 years.
I for one would never give up my Shelby GT 500, at least the one I am going to get.
Originally posted by mrmulder
Originally posted by Phoenix
I still can't discount the possibility of al Qa'ida having WMD, as to the reason for not using them if they have them I think they are waiting for the right conditions to exist.
If they just attacked the US without other co-ordinated operations they know we would squash them while the rest of the world stood by and watched or helped us out of fear of retribution.
Attacks in Iraq were stepped up amid rumors of 20 or so al Qa'ida cells in existance there, further tying down our military even with recent success in capturing al Qa'ida operatives in Iraq.
The Saudi's probably stopped a big attack with the break-up of the al Qa'ida cell during the Haj pilgramage.
More cells likely existed but went to ground with the heavy security in Saudi Arabia during this period.
If conditions of a religious insurrection can be made to happen in a middle eastern nation - take your pick which one, then al Qa'ida can obtain a base of operation or hide in the relatively friendly enviroment of that country after an attack on the US.
If they were to attack now without the above condition being true even hostile states not cooperating at this time would probably not protect them out of self preservation.
A Saudi regime run in the backround by al Qa'ida sympathisers would have two things going for it that might make the US hesitate to use military means to overthrow the regime. One is OIL and the risk that all other middle eastern countries might shut off the taps in response. The second reason is Mecca and Medina as the holiest sites in Islam, would be used to whip up resistance by other islamic nations to any US military response.
The thing to watch is assasination attempts, successful or otherwise as a prelude to action just like in Afganistan before 9-11.
The ceasing of chatter which recently happened, but picked up again after failure of Saudi operation.
Increased smoke and mirror threats to western interests
designed to wear down security efforts.
If all of these things start occuring at the same time, I say watch out here.
Actually, Phoenix. OIL is the only reason why Al-Quada hates us and attacked us on 9-11. We'll do anything we can to protect the oil over there. Even if it means the killing of innocent civilians and soldiers. It's sad but true.
Originally posted by SpittinCobra
Originally posted by Satyr
Actually, if it is indeed Al Qaida responsible for the threats, this is quite tactical on their part. See, if they cry wolf enough times, we'll eventually think it's BS every time. Then, they'll be free to strike whenever they please, since no one will take any threats seriously after awhile.
That was my point
Originally posted by Phoenix
Originally posted by mrmulder
Originally posted by Phoenix
I still can't discount the possibility of al Qa'ida having WMD, as to the reason for not using them if they have them I think they are waiting for the right conditions to exist.
If they just attacked the US without other co-ordinated operations they know we would squash them while the rest of the world stood by and watched or helped us out of fear of retribution.
Attacks in Iraq were stepped up amid rumors of 20 or so al Qa'ida cells in existance there, further tying down our military even with recent success in capturing al Qa'ida operatives in Iraq.
The Saudi's probably stopped a big attack with the break-up of the al Qa'ida cell during the Haj pilgramage.
More cells likely existed but went to ground with the heavy security in Saudi Arabia during this period.
If conditions of a religious insurrection can be made to happen in a middle eastern nation - take your pick which one, then al Qa'ida can obtain a base of operation or hide in the relatively friendly enviroment of that country after an attack on the US.
If they were to attack now without the above condition being true even hostile states not cooperating at this time would probably not protect them out of self preservation.
A Saudi regime run in the backround by al Qa'ida sympathisers would have two things going for it that might make the US hesitate to use military means to overthrow the regime. One is OIL and the risk that all other middle eastern countries might shut off the taps in response. The second reason is Mecca and Medina as the holiest sites in Islam, would be used to whip up resistance by other islamic nations to any US military response.
The thing to watch is assasination attempts, successful or otherwise as a prelude to action just like in Afganistan before 9-11.
The ceasing of chatter which recently happened, but picked up again after failure of Saudi operation.
Increased smoke and mirror threats to western interests
designed to wear down security efforts.
If all of these things start occuring at the same time, I say watch out here.
Actually, Phoenix. OIL is the only reason why Al-Quada hates us and attacked us on 9-11. We'll do anything we can to protect the oil over there. Even if it means the killing of innocent civilians and soldiers. It's sad but true.
mrmulder, take a look around wherever your at, how much plastic do you see? - how is the structure you are in heated or cooled? - how is the electricity powering your computer generated? - how much petroleum was used to get that food in your refrigerator and cupboard? how about that last medication you had? etc. etc. etc.
Yes many wars have been and probably will be fought to preserve the way of life that we lead, I laugh when someone simplemindedly says "If we just quit using oil- (add whatever political flavor you want to finish) because its so hypocritical, what they really mean is if EVERYONE ELSE quit using oil the way they do I could just keep on keeping on.
I especially do not respect the ITS WAR FOR OIL protesters not because of their message (true), but because they do not look at themselves and their lifestyle before criticizing others, I mean did they walk to the protest? - no probably not.
Nuclear, Fusion, Water, Wind, Tesla power generation sounds good but ya still can't make plastic with it nor any of the other myriad products derived from petroleum that we have come to depend on everyday - Few would be willing to make the sacrifice, even fewer realize what that sacrifice entails.(go back to 1800s).
So being a realistic and pragmatic person, I support the securing of petroleum supplies until such time an alternative supply or product can be obtained.
For those that want to challenge my stance on this or call me a fascist - You will have earned the right to after disposing of and selling off every last item, product and service that uses petroleum, otherwise don't bother me until you've cleaned your own house.
No offense to you mrmulder, I just wanted to point out the irony.
PS; don't forget the synthetic rubber tires on the bicycle.
Originally posted by eRnie
all the government want is an "Enemy"...