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Originally posted by Apass
Yes..maybe there were plants...but to say that there still are is a speculation, it's not a proof.
Originally posted by Apass
StellarX, sorry, but once again you seam not to have read my posts...
www.abovetopsecret.com...
Originally posted by StellarX
Why on earth would you admit that there might be life but then set out the spend the dozens of hours required to attempt proving it can not? It does not logically follow
Originally posted by Zaphod58
Since when does methane automatically equal life? I wasn't aware that the ONLY way to get methane in the atmosphere was to have life on the planet.
Originally posted by Apass
That's what scientiests do every day. They come up with a new theory
and then, to be sure they're wright, they try to prove it wrong. You can't just prove a theory looking only at the results predicted by your theory.
You have to study all the possibilities and only when you ruled out all the other explanations you can say that your theory might work.
Maybe I belive that there's life on Mars, but current evidence do not support this.
Judging the current evidence one can not say that the only explanation for all the phenomena observed is life!
Originally posted by Zaphod58
Or it could be natural gas pockets that are venting into the atmosphere.
Originally posted by StellarX
Nonsense. How many scientist daily try to invalidate their life's work?
This is OBSERVATION, not theory. Current life on Mars is not a "THEORY" but the result of logically considering what we have observed there.
2. a proposed explanation whose status is still conjectural, in contrast to well-established propositions that are regarded as reporting matters of actual fact.
dictionary.reference.com...
Show me just ONE theory that does not contain contradictions of one form or another however small they may be and i would be quite amazed.
Do we have to understand quantum mechanics perfectly to make a dishwasher work? Of course not and it's not only illogical but patently false to pretend that we have to consider each and every unlikely eventuality when we say that life has Mars considering what we know about planet Earth.
We have NO logical reason to assume different standards for Martian life than for Earthly life
Including objections based on 'other eventualities/unknowns' is just spiteful and childish and adds nothing to the scientific debate.
We work with what we know till we know more and we are ALWAYS supposed to state our findings in those terms.
You clearly do not want to believe or consider it as no one in their right mind would go to the trouble you have to show up other possibilities.
A scientific theory must only be consistent with observation and falsifiable for it to be of use and there is absolutely nothing inconsistent or illogical by stating that there is currently life on Mars.
One can however be 99.X% sure and that is good enough for people who can afford being wrong now and again.
in our analysis of the data and our interpretation of it, we believe that we have seen evidence for the production of the top quark in these collisions...We're confident on the level that there is only a few tenths of a percent probability that we are wrong
Although [the statistical probability of error] appears very small, scientists generally require a smaller probability of a background fluctuation before a new phenomenon is firmly established
www.duke.edu...
www.aip.org...
The statistical significance of the new top quark measurement is (expressed in units of likelihood) about 4.7 standard deviations. Put another way, the overall possibility of the observed top quark events being purely due to some background phenomenon is less than one part in a million for both experiments.
Originally posted by Stratrf_Rus
I can tell you right now, Methane is not only a by-product of life but a by-product of interactions between Carboniferous material and acids and other chemical reactions and can be a trace-volatile from Volcanoes (without the need of biologic activity).
stellarx
This is OBSERVATION, not theory. Current life on Mars is not a "THEORY" but the result of logically considering what we have observed there.
Originally posted by Nygdan
*psst* thats the definition of a theory.
Originally posted by Apass
All of them who take their work seriously.
No, it is a theory.
It doesn't matter if this is the result of observation. Also, Newton's gravity theory is the result of observation.
How about feedback theory in electronics?
Well, it's OK to consider Newton's gravity when you deal with the Earth-Moon system but you have to consider general relativity when you want to talk about black holes. But life either IS or IS NOT.
You can't have a theory about life on Mars and then when you are confronted with new evidence that your theory cannot predict you would come up with a more general one.
We do not have to understand quantum physics to make a dishwasher work, but without the quantum world, the dishwasher won't work! With this type of argument the only source for methane on a planet is life. And that's not true.
You say that we do not have to understand/know how methane can be released into the atmosphere (we do not understand quantum world) and claim that because there is methane, it must be life (the dishwasher works).
Well, no, because methane can have other sources as well (like a comet...)
And Mars ╪ Earth so yes, we have to consider each and very unlikely eventuality.
We DO have logical reason to assume different standards, like....H2O2 on the surface, like around 7mbars of atmospheric pressure and we can go on and on
That's how quantum physics appeared in the first place. And also relativity.
Exactly. And current evidence do not say that the only explanation for the observed phenomena is life.
Like I said. I believe that Romania will join EU in 2007. Do I know that? NO! Why one is not allowed to believe something for which he/she doesn't have a definte proof?
But if one believes something, it doesn't mean that he/she knows that thing. As for me, I rather use facts than beliefs.
So I say I don't know if there's life on Mars.
There also is nothing inconsistent or illogical by stating that Mars is not geologicaly dead.
If we don't have definte proofs, we can say anything! Lets try something. Lets suppose that there is no life on Mars. Would that mean that there will be no more methane in the atmosphere? Probably not. Would that mean that the dark dune spots will not form anymore? Probably not. So...is it safe to be sure that there is life on Mars? I guess not.
Well, lets look at those 99.x% and see what those x have to be:
So 99.9% it's not enough....hmmm
Edited to add another example of what 99.x% means: