Originally posted by EastCoastKid
What?! No comments about HILLARY?!
Where's everbuddy at?
I've already told you why I think she'll win in another thread. It's not that Hillary is going to decisively win, it's that the republicans will
lose, because there isn't a candidate out there who can unite both wings of a fracturing GOP. The only reason the GOP is fracturing, is because of an
increasingly greedy power grab by the Moonies and Religious Right that's turning off moderate independents, and shutting out fiscal conservatives
within their own party.
The warning signs came when Conservative Pundits attacked members of their own party: Arlen Spector, Lindsey Graham, John McCain, Sandra Day
O'Conner, even David Souter. It's not just about being Republican anymore
It's about being the right kind of Republican
It's the same mistake that democrats made by driving out conservative Democrats. And in shortening the lengths of the GOP tentpole, they're shutting
out some traditional, populist voters.
Now, how this all works out is simple. Hillary driving towards the middle. She's gonna win the Democratic primary. Nobody else has a chance. So, she
has two years to drive through the middle and lower her unfavorable ratings among moderate conservatives, and raise her positive ratings with
In 2000 and 2004, geography worked against Democrats. In 2008, geography actually works to their advantage. The Americans whom which Hillary has the
highest unfavorable ratings with are all located in the same two geographic areas - the South and the West. States that Democrats wouldn't be able to
However, her lowering unfavorables and undecideds are primarily located in swing states like Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Pennsylvania, Missouri. Remember,
all Hillary has to do is get one more state than Kerry or Gore did.
One state, and she's the next president.
That's why the selection of the next GOP candidate is so important. Because, that candidate would need to court the moderates (Socially liberal and
fiscally conservative) away from Hillary, but also be enough of a hardliner to rally his own base.
The only way that happens is if Christians elect someone who won't uphold their moral and ethical standards.
Also, has it appears more and more likely that the U.S. will be decreasing their troop reserves in Iraq by 2006, and perhaps pull out completely by
2008, there won't be a "war candidate". They won't be able to benefit from a 9/11 type situation, which highlights their own favorable issues.
Voters tend to believe the following..
Republicans are good at National Defense
Democrats are good at the Economy and Social Security.
Soccer Moms won't be voting against terrorists anymore, and by proxy, for Bush. Those Soccer Moms will be voting for jobs and the economy, and by
proxy, voting for Hillary.