Republican Debate and Primary Odds

Updated odds. Trump is now a 4 to 1 favorite in the GOP Race and has overtaken Biden for best chance to win 2024. Kari Lake is now the front runner for the GOP VP candidate. Ramaswamy has fallen way behind...Chris Christie way way behind.

Republican Candidate Odds:
Trump -400
DeSantis +800
Nikki Haley +1000
Ramaswamy +1600
Youngkin +2500
Chris Christie +6500
Mike Pence +6500
Tim Scott +6500

Republican VP Candidate odds
Kari Lake +225
Elise Stephanik +500
Kristi Noem +550
Ramaswamy +700
Nikki Haley +900
Tim Scott +900

Winner of 2024 Election
Trump +175
Biden +200
Newsom +800
Michele Obama +1200
Ron DeSantis +1600
Robert Kennedy Jr. +1800

Trump now has a narrow lead over Biden. Despite the rumors of RFK Jr. running as 3rd party candidate, he is way behind. Comically the odds maker give Michelle Obama a better chance than DeSantis(or RFK Jr ) of becoming the next President.

It is still early so expect more swings and these are the odds from just one online casino. If I recall correctly this one gave Trump the best odds against Hillary in 2016, unlike most that had her about a 3+ to 1 favorite.

Quick update.

Trump is still leading over Biden, +170 to +195 but the gap is closing. It appears his recent surge is over. Ramaswamy is falling hard.

For the GOP Primary
Trump -450
Haley and DeSantis +1000
Ramaswamy +3000

It will be interesting how the Iowa Caucus goes in terms of who will be 2nd. DeSantis continues to lose ground while Haley is slowly moving up the ladder.

a reply to: jrod

I take it you Never Bet on the Horses eh ?

a reply to: Zanti Misfit

Not much of a gambler unless its poker or something I have an edge at. I do think betting odds is just as good if not a better indicator for who will win an election.

Just like polling has flaws(especially ones still using landlines to call people) so do the casino odds.

Unfortunately this primary will likely be boring as after a few primaries it will be a clear race for 2nd place, which is futile as I dont see Nikki Haley or especially DeSantis being the VP nomination.

That said I do think the odds of Trump winning go up with Haley as VP versus Kari Lake. The goal of picking a VP is to get more votes.

originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: Zanti Misfit

Not much of a gambler unless its poker or something I have an edge at. I do think betting odds is just as good if not a better indicator for who will win an election.

Just like polling has flaws(especially ones still using landlines to call people) so do the casino odds.

Unfortunately this primary will likely be boring as after a few primaries it will be a clear race for 2nd place, which is futile as I dont see Nikki Haley or especially DeSantis being the VP nomination.

That said I do think the odds of Trump winning go up with Haley as VP versus Kari Lake. The goal of picking a VP is to get more votes.

What if Mr. Trump gets Creative and has the Swami as his VP ? That would be Interesting .

a reply to: jrod

Doesn't matter, unless the democrats decide not to cheat this time.

a reply to: DBCowboy

or they have to cheat so big itsnot to be believed by anyone sane

Wednesday, November 8, 2023

BIG GOP PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE TONIGHT!

theconservativetreehouse.com...

originally posted by: ElitePlebeian
Just found out about Vivek Ramaswamy and very impressed. By far the best candidate on both sides. Goes further than Trump while being more uniting and smarter than Trump (or any candidate). Can defend Trump better than Trump can.. this guy is a straight up genius, not exagerating. The guy that is needed right now.

You're right; he could charm the pants off of a snake. Obama 3.0, if you do your homework.

Keep in mind everything these guys say are what they think will get them elected, not what they stand for or will do as POTUS.

Ramaswamy said the only reason he accepted $90,000 from the Soros clan because he wanted to top off his Harvard degree with a Harvard degree and needed the money. The only problem with that is he was already a millionaire.

[www.foxnews.com...]

originally posted by: jrod
Updated odds. Trump is now a 4 to 1 favorite in the GOP Race and has overtaken Biden for best chance to win 2024. Kari Lake is now the front runner for the GOP VP candidate. Ramaswamy has fallen way behind...Chris Christie way way behind.

Republican Candidate Odds:
Trump -400
DeSantis +800
Nikki Haley +1000
Ramaswamy +1600
Youngkin +2500
Chris Christie +6500
Mike Pence +6500
Tim Scott +6500

Republican VP Candidate odds
Kari Lake +225
Elise Stephanik +500
Kristi Noem +550
Ramaswamy +700
Nikki Haley +900
Tim Scott +900

Winner of 2024 Election
Trump +175
Biden +200
Newsom +800
Michele Obama +1200
Ron DeSantis +1600
Robert Kennedy Jr. +1800

Trump now has a narrow lead over Biden. Despite the rumors of RFK Jr. running as 3rd party candidate, he is way behind. Comically the odds maker give Michelle Obama a better chance than DeSantis(or RFK Jr ) of becoming the next President.

It is still early so expect more swings and these are the odds from just one online casino. If I recall correctly this one gave Trump the best odds against Hillary in 2016, unlike most that had her about a 3+ to 1 favorite.

November 12, 2023

Republican U.S. Senator TIM SCOTT Suspends his Presidential campaign.

www.axios.com...

Who will he endorse?