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originally posted by: FamCore
Correct me if I am off-base with anything I'm saying here - but to me Bitcoin's performance right now leads me to believe that it is no longer so much a "currency", as it is a speculative investment.
In my personal life: I've heard a lot of colleagues, friends, and even strangers talking big about Bitcoin, boasting about the current values and potential for the future. But a lot of these individuals don't even seem to understand cryptocurrencies. Many of the people I personally know well who are talking it up don't even know how to intelligently manage their investments, and don't own a lot of real assets (for example they may be in thousands or tens of thousands of dollars in debt - credit card or student loan debt, own no real-estate, etc).
At the same time, I believe many people are waking up to the real value of these Fiat Currencies, and perhaps others (and some of the same) are waking up to the global debt crisis.
Looking at the bigger picture of Bitcoin in general:
I feel that the Central Bankers must have a lot more difficulty manipulating Bitcoin, unlike Precious Metals where they can flood the market with tens of thousands of paper contracts which artificially keep the value of Silver/Gold/etc. down. So it does pose a legitimate threat to the current system and its manipulators.
Now... as I understand it, Bitcoin was created to be a peer-to-peer electronic currency. Which begs the question, as a currency in relation to other currencies (Dollar, Yuan, Euro), by logic Bitcoin should be moving in opposition to these other currencies. But Bitcoin has gone up at the same time the dollar was strengthening. It is acting in every single capacity like a security, like a speculative investment.
It's value has shot up, but personally I believe it is a bubble right now and it will correct at some point, it may very well get much greater in value as well. However, I'm currently subscribing to the belief that right now, money has moved into Bitcoin as a speculative investment and like the Real Estate Bubble, like other bubble before it, Bitcoin's value will need to be corrected at some point in the near-ish future.
ATS friends... thoughts?