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Carbon dioxide is a bit player. There is little argument in the scientific community that a direct effect of doubling the CO2 concentration will be a small increase of the earth's temperature -- on the order of one degree. Additional increments of CO2 will cause relatively less direct warming because we already have so much CO2 in the atmosphere that it has blocked most of the infrared radiation that it can. It is like putting an additional ski hat on your head when you already have a nice warm one below it, but your are only wearing a windbreaker. To really get warmer, you need to add a warmer jacket. The IPCC thinks that this extra jacket is water vapor and clouds.
originally posted by: Nathan-D
Of course CO2 can't radiate as a blackbody. A blackbody absorbs all radiation.
Firstly, CO2 isn't re-radiating as a blackbody necessarily.
By my understanding, because CO2 is said to have a maximum radiating temperature of 193K and because 193K is cooler than 288K it would therefore have a cooling effect on the surface. Something that is colder than something else can obviously not heat it up. You know, like pouring cold water in a warm bath tub won't heat it up.
Secondly, how does that lead to global cooling?
Now all we do, swanne, I, and other members on this thread, is suggest that the same thing happen when the CO2, water vapor, and polluants layer thicken and densify: acting just like a cloud passing in front of the Sun, or the ashes from an erupted volcanoes blocking the Sun. It blocks the Sun's radiation, and cool down the atmosphere.
A): How is that pseudo-science mumble-jumble?
B): how hard is that to understand?
C): If it is hard for you guys to understand, you're the ones in need of a
And frankly, your intelligence level is an insult if you don't even understand the two simple concept of "thick opaque layer = no radiation passing through",
and that the Earth and Sun have a cycle of warming and cooling. Both are 101 geology and basic physics concept that you learn in highschool.
To be honest I think my quoted-explanation of the idea was too simplistic and I probably have misunderstood his argument. So far the presentations of the CO2-cooling arguments I have seen have been too complicated, unclear and indefinite for me to be able to understand them. I agree that a body with a cooler temperature could increase the temperature of a body that is warmer. I think their basic argument essentially boils down to a colder body being unable to increase the temperature of a warmer body as that would violate the 2nd law of thermodynamics. I concur with Roy Spencer's view when he covered this topic a few years back, although I thought his initial way of describing it was misleading, since he described the cooler plate in his thought experiment as heating the warmer one by preventing it from losing heat so fast. But later he described it correctly (in my view) as occuring simply because the cooler body is also radiating energy from its surface which iminges on that of the warmer one. So hopefully that will automatically correct my earlier misleading explanation from people's minds.
In CO2 and greenhouse gases it's a very non-blackbody, you have particular spectral distribution based on the specific quantum mechanics of the specific molecule.
Incoming radiation does not have to be balanced with the outgoing radiation. The total solar radiation impinging on Venus for example is 2,316W/sq.m and the planet is radiating at an astonishing 17,000W/sq.m.
Note that almost exactly the total radiation energy incoming to Earth from Sun is balanced by the total radiation emitted from surface atmosphere and all reflections.
Essentially what you're saying here in simple terms is that when we calculate the effective temperature of earth (with the Stefan-Boltzmann law) we get a temperature that is less than the observed temperature. The calculated effective temperature is 255K whereas the actual surface temperature is 288K. Hence we have a disparity of 33K that is apparently due to back-radiation from greenhouse gases. However demonstrating a dispairty between the earth's effective temperature and its observed temperature cannot be used as an argument that CO2 is significantly contributing to the 33K. As others have noted, water vapour accounts for about 96% of the atmospheric greenhouse by volume (according to NASA's Earth Fact Sheet) and molecule per molecule should be considered just as powerful absorber/emitter of radiation as CO2. Thus it seems that the vast majority of the 33K warming (i.e. 96%+) should be attributed to water vapour leaving 4% (i.e. 1.32C of 33C) for CO2. That simple calculation would appear to be at odds with HITRAN showing a warming of 8C from the entire CO2 greenhouse of 400ppmv.
originally posted by: mbkennel
Now you have thermal blackbody radiation going out from the surface, and in the absence of an atmosphere that's it, and you balance the emissivity and input & output and estimate the temperature (introductory thermodynamics class). You get a number much colder than the actual Earth. The difference is the atmosphere & greenhouse gases
originally posted by: swanne
This next graph show that unlike the simplistic view which is promoted in popular media, in the real world there are also glaciers which are growing:
ESA.int[/qu ote]
Ah, they do indeed grow? I heard that news a while ago, which perplexed me as the media kept saying glaciers were retreating, but couldn't find it anymore.
Great find!
originally posted by: swanne
But there are two points which you are ignoring - and this is not because they are "pseudoscience", but actually because you are missing some very basic science knowledge here. First off, the diminution in spacebound IR can also be caused by a diminution of output from the SOURCE of said IR emissions. Secondly, the greenhouse gases obey very basic physics mechanism: The IR radiation from Earth surface causes the greenhouse gas to energize - the electrons inside the atoms of these gases jump to excited states. In reality, when these atoms relax, and when there is a large number of them (such as is the case with the atmosphere), they re-emit IR in every directions - this means that half of it goes back towards Earth's surface (as predicted by AGW), but half of it also goes straight up to space (where the satellite is located, but now causing a discrepancy with observations).
This means that if the globe truly is warming, the atmosphere should follow a proportional heating. And since the atmosphere emits half of the energy impared to it back to space, then the satellites should register an increase, and not a decline, in spacebound IR emissions.
originally posted by: Nathan-D
Essentially what you're saying here in simple terms is that when we calculate the effective temperature of earth (with the Stefan-Boltzmann law) we get a temperature that is less than the observed temperature. The calculated effective temperature is 255K whereas the actual surface temperature is 288K. Hence we have a disparity of 33K that is apparently due to back-radiation from greenhouse gases. However demonstrating a dispairty between the earth's effective temperature and its observed temperature cannot be used as an argument that CO2 is significantly contributing to the 33K. As others have noted, water vapour accounts for about 96% of the atmospheric greenhouse by volume (according to NASA's Earth Fact Sheet) and molecule per molecule should be considered just as powerful absorber/emitter of radiation as CO2. Thus it seems that the vast majority of the 33K warming (i.e. 96%+) should be attributed to water vapour leaving 4% (i.e. 1.32C of 33C) for CO2. That simple calculation would appear to be at odds with HITRAN showing a warming of 8C from the entire CO2 greenhouse of 400ppmv.
originally posted by: mbkennel
Now you have thermal blackbody radiation going out from the surface, and in the absence of an atmosphere that's it, and you balance the emissivity and input & output and estimate the temperature (introductory thermodynamics class). You get a number much colder than the actual Earth. The difference is the atmosphere & greenhouse gases
originally posted by: Nathan-D
To be honest I think my quoted-explanation of the idea was too simplistic and I probably have misunderstood his argument. So far the presentations of the CO2-cooling arguments I have seen have been too complicated, unclear and indefinite for me to be able to understand them.
In CO2 and greenhouse gases it's a very non-blackbody, you have particular spectral distribution based on the specific quantum mechanics of the specific molecule.
Incoming radiation does not have to be balanced with the outgoing radiation. The total solar radiation impinging on Venus for example is 2,316W/sq.m and the planet is radiating at an astonishing 17,000W/sq.m.
Note that almost exactly the total radiation energy incoming to Earth from Sun is balanced by the total radiation emitted from surface atmosphere and all reflections.
The following link is a decent description.
There are of course interactions all the way through, it isn't passively separably additive, and that's why you need radiative transfer models.
Some of the water is in the atmosphere because of warming from other long-lived greenhouse gases.
As you're starting to recognize.
Is Venus powered by nuclear fusion?
A simple calculation is wrong or misleading in this case
And since the atmosphere emits half of the energy impared to it back to space, then the satellites should register an increase, and not a decline, in spacebound IR emissions
The bigger difference is in the greenhouse bands. So the net effect of increasing greenhouse gases is an upward shift in distribution (corresponding to temperature increase) and a deeper decline in the atomically & molecularly interacting frequencies, with the net integrated power being nearly equal.
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: Yavanna
Care to provide links that back up your alphabet list of claims?
Also CO2 does not form clouds or haze like water vapor or sulfur ash like we would see from a volcano.
This is not about science and facts it's all about denial. People can even see the changes but the denial is still there.
originally posted by: Yavanna
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: Yavanna
Care to provide links that back up your alphabet list of claims?
Swanne and I have been given you guys links and graphs since the last seven pages, links and graphs from scientists themselves.