Earthquake Prediction, M 7.2+ In Next 4 Days ..

Like I say in title in next hours - days think we will have magnitude of 7.2 +, in next 4 days max ..

Peace ..

Interesting statement in light of all the recent "talk" on earthquake predictions i.e. Niburu/heavy mass, tides, planetary alignments, 188 day cycle etc.. Care to clarify your prediction with what you base this on?


Please don't say "gut" feeling as I often get "gut" feelings too but they usually just mean I'm hungry or I have to take a poop.

Noted, will be watching.

Second.




(Can we move on?)

Actually, yes, go on please?

Another failed "prophecy"....

Although, just based on the numbers, you have a 5% chance of a 7+ mag quake on any given day of the year, so if you are right, I would lean more towards the numbers than your prediction.

~Namaste

A proper prediction should be accompanied by lat and long, expected strength, expected time window, target radius, possible cause etc.

I also can say 9.0 quake coming! (next 1 minute to a millenia from now)

Any idea where the feeling is for this large EQ?

Cali? Madrid fault? japan?

Originally posted by Ericthenewbie
Care to clarify your prediction with what you base this on?

Wanting stars and flags

OOPS I said it.

any whales or dolphins beaching, its usally a precursor!

reply to post by satron


No stars and flags required simply trying to determine the legitimacy of this prediction...after all, the site's motto is
"Deny ignorance"

lover088
I wish you would give us a few more details then just there is going to be magnitude of 7.2 +, in next 4 days max ..Do you have any idea were this 7.2 + earthquake prediction is going to happen? Any one can come in here and say this it would be nice to have a few more details..Did you dream this our is it just a gut feeling..peace,sugarcookie1

It was a hit and run post. The only way he/she will come back and comment is if it comes true.

This post from that other "prediction" thread about a 7.0-8 earthquake says it well:

Originally posted by Horza

Originally posted by SkipperJohn
reply to post by bknapple32

 

6.7 haha that is close enough to a 7.1. just admit it. the OP was right on.

I feel the need to post on this again to save some of our members from living in ignorance ....which is much worse than living in sin ... and much less fun ...

There is a BIG difference between a 6.7 and 7.0 ... around 300% difference

Also, there are 15 7.0 - 7.9 per year .... the odds of predicting a 7.0 to 7.9 within any 40 hour period is about 12-1 ... thats $12 for every one you bet

There are 134 6.0 - 6.9 per year, or one every 65 hours ... The odds of predicting a 6.0 to 6.9 in any 40 hour period is just over 3-2 ... thats $1.63 for every dollar you bet.

So not really that amazing ...

Not too out of the ordinary or a 7.0ish quake in any given four day period...

Might as well say it's going to rain in Seattle during the next week.

reply to post by sugarcookie1


You all do realize she's HUMAN right?? HUMANS don't predict crap. You all are asking for locations and how does she know, as if she actually is onto something.....GET REAL.

Originally posted by WatcherMan
reply to post by sugarcookie1

 

You all do realize she's HUMAN right?? HUMANS don't predict crap. You all are asking for locations and how does she know, as if she actually is onto something.....GET REAL.

You should "get real," friend. People (human people) have predicted things accurately hundreds of times. Take this man's story

In 1900, an American civil engineer called John Elfreth Watkins made a number of predictions about what the world would be like in 2000.

Digital color photography

Watkins did not, of course, use the word "digital"... but he accurately predicted how people would come to use new photographic technology.

"Photographs will be telegraphed from any distance. If there be a battle in China a hundred years hence, snapshots of its most striking events will be published in the newspapers an hour later.... photographs will reproduce all of nature's colors."

The rising height of Americans

"Americans will be taller by from one to two inches."

Watkins had unerring accuracy here, says Mr Nilsson - the average American man in 1900 was about 66-67ins (1.68-1.70m) tall and by 2000, the average was 69ins (1.75m).

Mobile phones

"Wireless telephone and telegraph circuits will span the world. A husband in the middle of the Atlantic will be able to converse with his wife sitting in her boudoir in Chicago. We will be able to telephone to China quite as readily as we now talk from New York to Brooklyn."

International phone calls were unheard of in Watkins' day. It was another 15 years before the first call was made, by Alexander Bell, even from one coast of the US to the other. The idea of wireless telephony was truly revolutionary.

Television

"Man will see around the world. Persons and things of all kinds will be brought within focus of cameras connected electrically with screens at opposite ends of circuits, thousands of miles at a span."

Watkins foresaw cameras and screens linked by electric circuits, a vision practically realized in the 20th Century by live international television and latterly by webcams.

(This next one is quite impressive.)

The Acela Express

"Trains will run two miles a minute normally. Express trains one hundred and fifty miles per hour."

Exactly 100 years after writing those words, to the very month, Amtrak's flagship high-speed rail line, the Acela Express, opened between Boston and Washington, DC. It reaches top speeds of 150mph, although the average speed is considerably less than that. High-speed rail in other parts of the world, even in 2000, was considerably faster.

Consider, that is one, single man who predicted all of these things to come. A man you have probably never heard of. People can and DO predict things.... Maybe not this particular one at this particular time, but you have no grounds to stand on and shout "humans don't predict crap!"

Originally posted by SonOfTheLawOfOne
Another failed "prophecy"....

Although, just based on the numbers, you have a 5% chance of a 7+ mag quake on any given day of the year, so if you are right, I would lean more towards the numbers than your prediction.

~Namaste

Mat expert this is 2 EQ over M 7.2 in last 6 months, only ....

So your BS mat is for blind members, only ..

2012-03-20 18:02:49.0 16.69 N 98.24 W 19 7.4 GUERRERO, MEXICO
2 F 2012-01-10 18:36:59.0 2.49 N 93.23 E 10 7.2 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA

www.emsc-csem.org...

reply to post by lover088


You seem to be missing a few:

Magnitude, Type, Date(y/m/d) Time(hh:mm:ss), Latitude, Longitude, Depth, Location, Source, Catalogue
7.0 Mw, 2012/1/1 5:27:56, 31.416, 138.155, 365, South of Honshu, Japan, emsc
7.2 Mw, 2012/1/10 18:36:59, 2.452, 93.209, 20.5, W of Sumatra, Indonesia, usgs
7.1 Mw. 2012/2/2 13:34:40, -17.766, 167.134, 23.1, Vanuatu, usgs
7.0 Ms 2012/02/26 06:17:17.4, 51.73, 95.98, 10, South Western Siberia, Russia, ras/cenc
7.4 Mw 2012/03/20 18:02:49, 16.662, -98.188, 20, Oaxaca, Mexico, usgs

Sources, Catalogues Index
[emsc] European Mediterranean Seismological Centre data base
[ras] Russian Academy of Sciences
[usgs] USGS/NEIC (PDE-Q) Most Recent Events, United States Geological Survey
[geoau] Geoscience Australia
[cenc] China earthquake Networks Center
[gfz] GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences (Geofon)

From the "Text List" link of 2012 quakes on this page maintained by ATS member muzzy.


ETA

Oh, and i you want to go back 6 months, there are a few more:

7.6 Ms, 2011/10/21 17:57:16, -29.2, -175.5, 16, Kermadec Trench, geonet
7.3 Mw, 2011/10/23 10:41:21, 38.7578, 43.3602, Van, eastern Turkey, koeri
7.1 Mw 2011/12/14 05:04:57, -7.518, 146.767, Kudjeru, Eastern Highlands, PNG, usgs, neic

From the 2011 Text list as linked above.

So in the last 6 months, there have been 7 Mag 7.0+ quakes.

predicting something like this is even more extreme than my prediction of a famous person dieing of a drug over dose heart attack or car accident from june 17-25th.

reply to post by WatcherMan


WatcherMan
No need to get nasty ..I have a right just like everyone else on this board to state what i feel i dont need your rude remarks..peace,sugarcookie

reply to post by Aqualung2012


Aqualung2012
Thanks for putting the link to the story that was an interisting read peace,sugarcookie1