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Weathermen get way to much air time. They are the first person to report on the local news and get at least ten minutes of air time during the "weather" portion of the news. They give seven day forecasts when most of the time they can't even accurately predict the weather for the next freaking day... sometimes they don't even get the weather correct on the same day!
First of all, how are average temperatures taken? Are thermometers randomly placed throughout the world? In cities, suburbs and rural areas? In deserts, mountains, and plains? Is the temperature of the atmosphere taken into consideration? If so at what elevation?
Secondly, for how long have these averages been measured to get a base line? I can't imagine average temps being recorded for more than a few decades or so.
Lastly, how are the computer models created to make these predictions? Computer programs can be programmed to give certain results, perhaps not intentionally, if one has a bias or is looking for a particular answer or outcome. Either way if they are the same computer the weatherman uses, I wouldn't trust any of it!
It seems to me that there are way too many variables involved to give accurate results. I admit there does seem to be a warming trend, with the melting of glaciers, etc going on now (however it's been absolutely frigid in Milwaukee for the last couple weeks). But does that mean it's all man made? Can we accurately predict that things won't turn around and start cooling off again sometime soon?
...can tell you how funny it is when the first twenty minutes of the 5:00 broadcast is devoted to a "Stormwatch 2007" segment...
Originally posted by mecheng
Now, The Question:
So if the weatherman, with all their technology, can't tell me accurately whether it will rain or not the next day, how is it that the scientists can predict the temperature of the Earth for the next decade or more?
First of all, how are average temperatures taken? Are thermometers randomly placed throughout the world? In cities, suburbs and rural areas? In deserts, mountains, and plains? Is the temperature of the atmosphere taken into consideration? If so at what elevation?
Secondly, for how long have these averages been measured to get a base line? I can't imagine average temps being recorded for more than a few decades or so.
Lastly, how are the computer models created to make these predictions? Computer programs can be programmed to give certain results, perhaps not intentionally, if one has a bias or is looking for a particular answer or outcome. Either way if they are the same computer the weatherman uses, I wouldn't trust any of it!
In Conclusion
It seems to me that there are way too many variables involved to give accurate results. I admit there does seem to be a warming trend, with the melting of glaciers, etc going on now (however it's been absolutely frigid in Milwaukee for the last couple weeks). But does that mean it's all man made? Can we accurately predict that things won't turn around and start cooling off again sometime soon?
Originally posted by mecheng
Weathermen get way to much air time. They are the first person to report on the local news and get at least ten minutes of air time during the "weather" portion of the news.
Originally posted by mecheng
IMO, most of the time spent on weather could be put to better use by spending it on, oh say, sports!
Originally posted by mecheng
So if the weatherman, with all their technology, can't tell me accurately whether it will rain or not the next day, how is it that the scientists can predict the temperature of the Earth for the next decade or more?
Originally posted by mecheng
First of all, how are average temperatures taken? Are thermometers randomly placed throughout the world? In cities, suburbs and rural areas? In deserts, mountains, and plains? Is the temperature of the atmosphere taken into consideration? If so at what elevation?
Originally posted by mecheng
Secondly, for how long have these averages been measured to get a base line? I can't imagine average temps being recorded for more than a few decades or so.
Originally posted by psyopswatcher
*wxguesser, for short