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originally posted by: Telepathy3
a reply to: TerryMcGuire
Seems reasonable. I guess I tend to give more belief to peoples claims but have has my one sightings and strange things happen as well
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
a reply to: Telepathy3
95% of UFO sightings can be explained if enough effort is put into explaining them.
I've seen people try to dispute the 95% number, and some give a range like 90-95% if you prefer that, but the reason I think 90% is a bit low is that all the studies that reported unexplained percentages below 95% also stated that inadequate resources prevented thorough investigations of all reports in the study. Thus it's logical to presume that had more effort been applied to explaining cases more would have been explained. Would the number always be 95% in every study? Probably not, but personally I find it hard to disagree with researchers who bandy about the 95% number as it seems quite plausible to me. This author says possibly 95% or more and I find it hard to disagree with that also:
originally posted by: spiritualarchitect
That's a consensus guesstimate but this cites some figures:
Researchers are in general agreement that most sightings, possibly 95% or more, are ultimately explainable as either natural phenomena or man-made in origin.
So not quite 95% but how much higher would those figures be had more effort been applied? 95% isn't a bad guess if you ask me, and this figure was also cited by Bill Birnes, publisher of UFO magazine, who certainly knows something about the topic. I've also seen this figure on a MUFON website.
From 1952 to 1969 Project Blue Book compiled reports of more than 12,000 sightings or events, each of which was ultimately classified as (1) “identified” with a known astronomical, atmospheric, or artificial (human-caused) phenomenon or (2) “unidentified.” The latter category, approximately 6 percent of the total, included cases for which there was insufficient information to make an identification with a known phenomenon...
The Robertson Panel met for three days in 1953 and interviewed military officers and the head of Project Blue Book. They also reviewed films and photographs of UFOs. Their conclusions were that (1) 90 percent of the sightings could be easily attributed to astronomical and meteorologic phenomena (e.g., bright planets and stars, meteors, auroras, ion clouds) or to such earthly objects as aircraft, balloons, birds, and searchlights,