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In an article titled “Four fundamentals of workplace automation,” two co-authors examine the impact of automation proliferated across the many different sectors of the U.S. economy. After starting research earlier this year, the institute reports that the popular focus on robots claiming jobs currently filled by humans is misplaced.
According to our analysis, fewer than 5 percent of occupations can be entirely automated using current technology. However, about 60 percent of occupations could have 30 percent or more of their constituent activities automated. In other words, automation is likely to change the vast majority of occupations—at least to some degree—which will necessitate significant job redefinition and a transformation of business processes.
Our work to date suggests that a significant percentage of the activities performed by even those in the highest-paid occupations (for example, financial planners, physicians, and senior executives) can be automated by adapting current technology. For example, we estimate that activities consuming more than 20 percent of a CEO’s working time could be automated using current technologies. These include analyzing reports and data to inform operational decisions, preparing staff assignments, and reviewing status reports. Conversely, there are many lower-wage occupations such as home health aides, landscapers, and maintenance workers, where only a very small percentage of activities could be automated with technology available today.
Capabilities such as creativity and sensing emotions are core to the human experience and also difficult to automate. The amount of time that workers spend on activities requiring these capabilities, though, appears to be surprisingly low. Just 4 percent of the work activities across the US economy require creativity at a median human level of performance. Similarly, only 29 percent of work activities require a median human level of performance in sensing emotion.
The researchers admit that these estimates are rough and likely to be wrong. But consider this a snapshot of what some smart people think the future might look like. If it says your job will likely be replaced by a machine, you've been warned.
what is the fate of the working class?
This ridiculously primitive mindset of "everyone needs to do menial labor just to survive" can finally be put to rest, once and for all. I simply can't imagine a truly advanced civilization requiring the majority of its citizens do menial labor just for that civilization to survive. That's not advanced at all.
originally posted by: enlightenedservant
Honestly, automation is an incredible blessing. If enough jobs & tasks can be automated, it will finally make "Socialist Utopias" a feasible option.
Automated stations could harvest all of our resource & energy needs, while humans focused our time on improving humanity. Imagine the incredible scientific discoveries we could make if an entire 10% of humankind was focused on exploring & restoring our forests, waterways/oceans, and outer space.
And imagine if another 10% were focused strictly on things like cures for human & animal illnesses, longevity of life, improving nutritional diets, etc. And then another 10% were focused strictly on creating new algorithms & new technology of all kinds, like travel, teleportation, new materials, etc. And even better, imagine another 10% of humans focused on colonizing the galaxy & making it habitable for growing human societies.
This ridiculously primitive mindset of "everyone needs to do menial labor just to survive" can finally be put to rest, once and for all. I simply can't imagine a truly advanced civilization requiring the majority of its citizens do menial labor just for that civilization to survive. That's not advanced at all.
originally posted by: hopenotfeariswhatweneed
a reply to: enlightenedservant
This ridiculously primitive mindset of "everyone needs to do menial labor just to survive" can finally be put to rest, once and for all. I simply can't imagine a truly advanced civilization requiring the majority of its citizens do menial labor just for that civilization to survive. That's not advanced at all.
Stop making so much sense...
originally posted by: Puppylove
originally posted by: enlightenedservant
Honestly, automation is an incredible blessing. If enough jobs & tasks can be automated, it will finally make "Socialist Utopias" a feasible option.
Automated stations could harvest all of our resource & energy needs, while humans focused our time on improving humanity. Imagine the incredible scientific discoveries we could make if an entire 10% of humankind was focused on exploring & restoring our forests, waterways/oceans, and outer space.
And imagine if another 10% were focused strictly on things like cures for human & animal illnesses, longevity of life, improving nutritional diets, etc. And then another 10% were focused strictly on creating new algorithms & new technology of all kinds, like travel, teleportation, new materials, etc. And even better, imagine another 10% of humans focused on colonizing the galaxy & making it habitable for growing human societies.
This ridiculously primitive mindset of "everyone needs to do menial labor just to survive" can finally be put to rest, once and for all. I simply can't imagine a truly advanced civilization requiring the majority of its citizens do menial labor just for that civilization to survive. That's not advanced at all.
Amen to that. Ask most what they would do if they could, and most have something that would truly improve humanity to aspire to if not spending their lives doing menial labor.
I know I'd be in research myself, exploring animal intelligence.
originally posted by: Puppylove
a reply to: enlightenedservant
Sadly no, I'm spending my life in menial labor barely scraping buy in debt. Go modern society.
Just looking at the premise alluded to in the title of the OP, I would say that CEOs might SEEM to be in a position which might be at greater threat of automation than some other job roles out there. However, that totally disregards the power that those individuals have, to shape the market and dictate prices, to lobby industry and government alike to favour their interests, which, one assumes, include having their employment protected.
But what happens when there is not enough money in the governments pot to pay for all the people not working because the owners of all the automated plants have kept all the money?