WE'RE DOOMED (again) as astronomers spot asteroid that could SMASH Earth in 2032

Hiya,

I came across this just now and was surprised to see no one had posted about it.

WE'RE DOOMED (again) as astronomers spot asteroid that could SMASH Earth in 2032

A newly discovered asteroid, with the snappy name 2013 TV135, runs a slight chance of hitting Earth on August 26, 2032 and ruining everyone's day in a very big way.

"A 400-metre asteroid is threatening to blow up the Earth,” Russian vice-premier Dmitry Rogozin, who runs Russia's space industry, posted on his Twitter feed. “Here is a super target for the national cosmonautics.”

The space hunk was spotted by astronomers at the Crimean Astrophysical Observatory in southern Ukraine last weekend and their findings have now been confirmed by star-gazers in Italy, Spain, the UK and Russia. The best guesstimate is that the asteroid has a one in 63,000 chance of smashing into Earth.

NASA has also assessed the data and has rated it as a level one threat on the Torino impact hazard scale, making 2013 TV135 one of only two bodies yet found that may threaten Earth. One is the lowest rating on the scale (a ten rating means we really are doomed) and the asteroid is expected to miss us by 1.7 million km. But we'll have to wait until 2028 to get final confirmation of its course and likely impact point.

If 2013 TV135 does hit Earth then it will explode with an estimated force of 2,500 megatons of TNT. By contrast, the Tsar Bomb, the most ridiculously large nuclear device ever exploded, was the equivalent of 50 megatons.

This is the explosion of the Tsar Bomb...



YIKES!!!

Korg.

reply to post by Korg Trinity


Mmmmmm dooooom pron.

The page you linked to is 404'd.

Do you happen to have another source?

Hmm..at least we have a while before the DOOM really hits on this one.

CNN

The space agency is 99.998% certain that when it whooshes back around the planet in 2032, it will simply sail past us again. Searching for all asteroid threats NASA asks public to hunt asteroids Meteorite pulled from Russian lake The probability of it striking Earth currently stands at 1:63,000, and even those odds are fading fast, as scientists find out more about the asteroid. "This is a relatively new discovery," said Don Yeomans, manager of NASA's NEO Program. "With more observations, I fully expect we will be able to significantly reduce, or rule out entirely, any impact probability for the foreseeable future."

Doom and gloom no more people

daryllyn
reply to post by Korg Trinity

 

Mmmmmm dooooom pron.

The page you linked to is 404'd.

Do you happen to have another source?

It's better than watching spider pig vids lol

Link fixed

Korg.

Let me check my calendar for that day, I think I already have another ELE event scheduled that day. Could we possibly move this one to September 2032? I think Nostradamus has the August day booked with a plague or maybe a nuclear war.

DOOM porn part 1001! We are so hooked on DOOM porn.

reply to post by Korg Trinity


MAN!! that's some big bang!

No wounder the adjustment bureau had to step in. What with this sort of stuff

What's a Space Hunk...??

LOL but of course, CNN has this on their front page of the web site.

One of the most dangerous asteroids on record zipped close by Earth last month. Early reports said that there's a chance it could strike our planet in less than 20 years, prompting NASA to issue a reality check. FULL STORY

Sounds way scarier than the truth, right?

We'll have force fields by then so no worries.

The two Benders said it best:



So let's all sing the doom song

Soloprotocol
What's a Space Hunk...??

It think it was supposed to read Chunk...





Korg.

reply to post by Korg Trinity


Technology should be advanced by then in the Celestial incoming detection prevention field.

reply to post by Korg Trinity


Ugh! Again is right and again we will probably not be hit.

www.slate.com...

2013 TV135 is an asteroid with an estimated size of about 400 meters (a quarter mile), and was just discovered on Oct. 8, 2013 at the Crimean Astrophysical Observatory and several other observatories have confirmed it. It’s a Near-Earth Object, meaning that as far as we can tell, it has an orbit that brings it near the Earth (hence the term, duh). In this case, it will pass near us in the year 2032.


The question, of course, is how near? That turns out not to have a straightforward answer. Right now we don’t know the orbit well, and it may not come within tens of millions of kilometers of us. All we can say for now is what is the likelihood of it impacting the Earth, and the odds — as it stands today, Oct. 18, 2013 — are about one in 63,000. If that sounds high to you, think of it this way: it has a 99.99998 percent chance of missing us. That’s good enough for me, and that’s likely to go to a 100 percent safety level in the coming weeks.

coolcatt
reply to post by Korg Trinity

 

MAN!! that's some big bang!

No wounder the adjustment bureau had to step in. What with this sort of stuff

Yep... 250 megatons or 250000 kilo-tonnes... YIKES!!

There is a simulator you can access here to simulate this..

Impact Earth

Cool animations and accurate data... awesome to play around with.

Korg.

reply to post by daryllyn


You say "Doomed again" ? what did I miss from the previous doom ? Oh here comes jesus riding a comet...I'm at peace with myself as revelations take a hold of me nm a I tryn m to fight da curse mmfth no no ...yesss

Why does doom have to be so far in the future sometimes. I'll probably be old and won't even be interested in conspiracies that long from now. The only Ass-ter-oids I will be worried about then will be called hemorrhoids.

Maybe the younger people around then can worry about space rocks, I'll just worry about constipation.

Russians love to play up doom, I'm noticing. They seem to focus on it more than American media, which is saying something. These days? That's really going a bit....

However, 400 meters, in the absolute worst case across all categories which matter for specs....wouldn't be an ELE by any stretch. I figured this out by using an online tool based at Purdue University for Near Earth Object impact simulation. Punch in the doom data and it gives you the doom result....or lack of doom more often than not.

Oh..I wouldn't want to be anywhere near impact. In fact, I ran this for numbers from a simulated distance of 500 miles to observe. The specs?

Diameter: 400m
Density: 8000kg/m^3 (solid iron mass)
Angle of approach: 90 degrees
Relative Velocity: 70 Kilometers Per Second
Target: Sedimentary Rock
Observer Positon: 500 miles

The Result:

Direct impact area: .46 x .46 Kilometers in diameter
Speed at ground impact: 69.7 Km/s or 43.3 Miles per second
Global Change: Negligible. < 5 hundreths of a degree shift on axis
Crater Info: Complex / Active Size: 15 Kilometers. / Final size: 21 kilometers at 745 meters depth
Seismic Effect: 8.1 Magnitude quake. Effects negligible at observer distance
Ejecta at 500 miles: Micron size
Air Blast at 500 Miles: Arrives 40 minutes / Wind Speed 25mph at 74 dB noise level

Purdue Impact Simulator

In this case, the truth is out there..and not too far away. I wouldn't want to be in the same state it landed in ...and an ocean impact would add all new issues ..but it's a regional disaster, IMO and not a world one. Even if every metric maxes to the worst possible.

Asteroid 2013 TV135 – A Reality Check

To put it another way, that puts the current probability of no impact in 2032 at about 99.998 percent," said Don Yeomans, manager of NASA's Near-Earth Object Program Office at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif. "This is a relatively new discovery. With more observations, I fully expect we will be able to significantly reduce, or rule out entirely, any impact probability for the foreseeable future."

I wouldn't get too worked up, unless NASA is as corrupt as the rest of the government.

Well I will be 78 year old by ten if I'm still around

But would love to see it Ha not to close tought