posted on Apr, 18 2013 @ 08:52 PM
Okay. So let's say I'm Kim Jong Un and I have 1 nuclear warhead which took me a long time to make and I want to make it land on US soil. But the US
has a missile deflection system which will knock out a missile with 90% efficiency... Hmmm... What do I do?
So do you know what I would do?
Well, while I only have 1 nuclear warhead and 1 ICBM that's really any good at hitting the target I tell it to, I can always, mass produce a bunch of
warheadless ICBM which kinda go in the right direction but it doesn't really matter what they do, as long as they look the part at least up until the
final 15 minutes or so.
I would load up my 1 nuclear warhead into my 1 good ICBM, and launch it simultaniously with all my not so great ICBMs all towards my target on US
soil. Let's say the US can shoot down 10 ICBMs in 1 "session" which with a huge network of satellites, radars and launchers isn't too farfetched
at a 90% deflection rate, out of those 10, 1 would get through. Not great.
But what if I launched 100? 100 ICBMs isn't hard for a military industrial nation such as NK to build in secret over the past 5 years. Then 91 get
through and the US enjoys only a 9% reflection rate. Meaning that there's a 91% chance my missile made it to my target which seem like pretty good
odds to me.
Lone launches aren't a problem, but this is why a rogue nation with a single WMD is a threat.