posted on Dec, 13 2012 @ 12:21 PM
Originally posted by txjab512
What's crazy is the fact that I lived both in Florida and Texas as a child. We practically grew up in the water. And we didn't always swim in the
cleanest of lakes, ponds, or streams. I hate to say it but my Brothers and I would actually swim in the disgusting creeks that captured all of the
runoff after storms. The water wasn't always running in those creeks needless to say. And here I am alive and well at almost 40 years of age.
Yes...but the times they are a' changin'.
Every year more and more fertiler runoff goes into the watersheds....which in turn provides a surplus of nutrients for ever-larger algae
blooms...which in turn provides an overabundance of food for all manner of microbes.
Add into the equation whatever kind of sh%$tty chemicals and pharmaceuticals we dumping into the food chain and who knows how it might have served to
amp up these little brain-eating bastards. A thicker cell wall here, a little bit better at penetrating the nasal membranes there, 20% faster
reproductive cycle....and next thing you know 2% of humans can't find these guys off instead of .002% (or whatever. Numbers are hypothetical.
Hell...given the fact that kids don't play outside NEARLY to the extent that they did three decades ago...we might ACTUALLY be seeing a TERRIFYING
increase in how deadly these things are.
For example...let's say those "100 cases in the last 40 years" were split perfectly evenly at 25 case per 10 year period ('62-'71, '72-'81,
etc). It seems like it's the "normal amount" of infection at first glance...but I'd willing to bet my soul that the number of kids (or adults for
that matter) swimming in non-chlorinated, natural ponds, rivers, lakes, etc was DRASTICALLY higher during the '60's than what was from '02 onwards
in our new Age of Xbox and Bubble-Wrapped Children.
The (drastically oversimplified version of the) equation would have to look something like:
[(# of people who swim in natural watersheds) * (Frequency of swimming) / (# of Infections)] * (population growth modifier) = Relative Probability of
Even taking into account population growth I think we are on a pretty even keel given that the kids (the one's I assume would be most likely to be
swimming) from the '60's were Baby Boomers and therefore disproportionately large as a generational cohort.
Whatever. Just armchair speculation. I might be way off and I gotta say...it's not that burning of a question for me to conduct a 6 year study which
evaluates all of the empirical data. Just tossing out some ideas.