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posted on Sep, 4 2012 @ 02:31 PM
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I can't recall who turned me on to this list but here are some links for those of you who would like to see how different pollsters are vying for the best prediction:

Electoral-vote.com
www.electoral-vote.com...
(Pro-democrat author)

Electionprojection.com
www.electionprojection.com...
(less conservative)

Real Clear Politics
www.realclearpolitics.com...
(Poss Republican leaning)

FiveThirtyEight - BLOG
fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com...
(NYTimes)

FHQ (frontloading HQ)
frontloading.blogspot.com...
(Academician author)

Princeton Election Consortium
election.princeton.edu...
(Academician Author) - uses no econometric variables

Race42012
race42012.com...
(Republican leaning)

Karl Rove
www.rove.com...
(overtly partisan - duh!)

Huffington Post
elections.huffingtonpost.com...
(left-leaning)

If you know of others who may claim there 'politcal-metric-kung-fu' is best... please feel free to add them here.

Sorry for the minimalist post... but the list sort of speaks for itself.

(Personal note: I despise the statistician gamesmanship associated with this part of our electoral process... I make no claims as to which is "best" if there is such a thing in a world where votes are "liquid" products for political duopoly.)

EDIT TO ADD: Here is a good link if you want to review the historical record on post-ballot-polling.... it is quite interesting: Voting Preferences of the American Electorate, 1980-2008


edit on 4-9-2012 by Maxmars because: (no reason given)




 
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