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In case you wanted to compare "metrics"

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posted on Sep, 4 2012 @ 02:31 PM
I can't recall who turned me on to this list but here are some links for those of you who would like to see how different pollsters are vying for the best prediction:
(Pro-democrat author)
(less conservative)

Real Clear Politics
(Poss Republican leaning)

FiveThirtyEight - BLOG

FHQ (frontloading HQ)
(Academician author)

Princeton Election Consortium
(Academician Author) - uses no econometric variables

(Republican leaning)

Karl Rove
(overtly partisan - duh!)

Huffington Post

If you know of others who may claim there 'politcal-metric-kung-fu' is best... please feel free to add them here.

Sorry for the minimalist post... but the list sort of speaks for itself.

(Personal note: I despise the statistician gamesmanship associated with this part of our electoral process... I make no claims as to which is "best" if there is such a thing in a world where votes are "liquid" products for political duopoly.)

EDIT TO ADD: Here is a good link if you want to review the historical record on post-ballot-polling.... it is quite interesting: Voting Preferences of the American Electorate, 1980-2008

edit on 4-9-2012 by Maxmars because: (no reason given)


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