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4%,5% or 10%???? SARS death toll as a percentage of those infected




Topic started on 26-4-2003 @ 09:34 AM by John bull 1


First we heard the death toll for SARS was 4% then 5% now it is 10%.

Excluding(unreliable) Chinese figures SARS claims 1 in 10 of those who are infected.

We also hear that SARS is a continualy mutating virtus.

Is this the perfect storm???

Is this the perfect virus?

Each disease has an infection model.It can be projected on a graph.Has anyone seen a model?

If we except that SARS will not progress expodentially and will follow the the standard viral model.What will be the effects?

If SARS mutates radically and therefore offers no imnunity for those who have already been infected then is SARS,however slow moving,a rolling virus,ergonically designed to hit us all or at the very least have a profound effect on us????


I would be very interested to hear the views of others and any updated imformation anybody may have come across.



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reply posted on 26-4-2003 @ 09:50 AM by Lurker


Sars isnt real, its a propaganda spin, honestly now why havnt we heard about it before recently? Cause it isnt real.

homepage.tinet.ie...

www.nomorefakenews.com...

www.nomorefakenews.com...



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reply posted on 26-4-2003 @ 05:45 PM by dragonrider


SARS deathrate as high as 15%, deffinitely much higher than originally thought

news.bbc.co.uk...



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reply posted on 26-4-2003 @ 05:50 PM by dragonrider


Sars isnt real, its a propaganda spin, honestly now why havnt we heard about it before recently? Cause it isnt real. Posted by Lurker

Well, it might not be real to you, but its pretty damn real to those 18 people who died of it in Toronto, and however many really died of it in China.

What I do know is that we are having a briefing with CDC and USAMRIID specialists next week about emergency containment procedures... we have NO active or suspect cases in our area, but when they go so far as to allocate 2 hangers and 2400 beds for quarantine, and start moving medical equipment into those hangers, they believe something is going to happen...



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reply posted on 27-4-2003 @ 09:56 PM by Estragon


There just isn't the information: SARS tests aren't reliable yet. Some people diagnosed with SARS have been "undiagnosed" and there's no clear data on the demographic spread: SARS may simply have been the final straw for elderly people ( or others) with terminal illnesses already.
Between 5 and 10% seems to be about right, at present.
The place I'd watch as far as statistics goes is probably Singapore where they have both the technology and the political means to enforce it.



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reply posted on 27-4-2003 @ 10:05 PM by Quicksilver


umm but doesnt the flew come from asia????? But also hopefully it is an outbreak in china kill a few million. Hopefully the dictator overthere 2



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reply posted on 28-4-2003 @ 04:08 PM by Byrd


It's fairly low (even in China, fewer than 200 people have died from it), it's slow spreading... in short, it's very like other forms of pneumonia we know about. Because transmission is slow, it can be effectively controled by quarrantine.



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