Big Tokyo Earthquake Likely 'Within The Next Few Years': BBC

Just thought I'd post this for your consideration. All opinions are welcome.

Item

Big Tokyo Earthquake Likely 'Within The Next Few Years'
www.bbc.co.uk...
23 January 2012 Last updated at 10:29 ET

A big earthquake is much more likely to hit the Japanese capital, Tokyo, in the next few years than the government has predicted, researchers say.

The team, from the University of Tokyo, said there was a 75% probability that a magnitude 7 quake would strike the region in the next four years.

The government says the chances of such an event are 70% in the next 30 years.

The warning comes less than a year after a massive earthquake and tsunami devastated Japan's north-eastern coast.

The last time Tokyo was hit by a big earthquake was in 1923, when a 7.9 magnitude quake killed more than 100,000 people, many of them in fires.

Researchers at the University of Tokyo's earthquake research institute based their figures on data from the growing number of tremors in the capital since the 11 March 2011 quake.

They say that compared with normal years, there has been a five-fold increase in the number of quakes in the Tokyo metropolitan area since the March disaster.

They based their calculations on data from Japan's Meteorological Agency, They said their results show that seismic activity had increased in the area around the capital, which in turn leads to a higher probability of a major quake.
www.bbc.co.uk...

reply to post by this_is_who_we_are


uh oh. not again.
japan is still recovering from the last one (((

This has been a know possibility for a long time. In fact, well before the Tohoku 9.1.

TA's Final Warning to Tokyo thread.

And it's also been mentioned in the mega-thread a few times as well. The Tohoku quake has not leased the possibility of a large quake in Tokyo Bay.

If that happens, I do t even want to think about the consequences of a tsunami with that as a starting point.

Hmmm, daijobu desu

Tokyo, (the Government as well as the Citizens),
is preparing a lot since the 03/11 Quake,
they needed to upgrade their whole System because
the Tohoku-Quake revealed many Problems,
from the Flood-Gates until the medical Treatment of Diabetics!

At the 03/11 Quake ca. 3,5 Million People stranded in Down-Town Tokyo
because after a Quake all Trains stop to operate and stayed closed until
everything is checked for potential Damages!

I really wish and hope that the possible coming Tsunami
comes at low Tide and do not reach the Houses behind the Shore Line!

@ Op,

you need to take care to not post more than 50% of the Story,
otherwise ATS get trouble