In the last 21 hours for the n2yo site, the predicted pass over my location has been moved up five minutes and moved several miles closer (higher)-- eastward.

Therefore, the n2yo.com folks are making periodic updates to the calculated orbit.

I have never seen a vehicle re-entry-- and this could be my chance.

However, while the pass over me is getting closer to being straight up (about 75 degrees above the horizon)-- if it lasts that long---it is also getting earlier (only about fifteen minutes after sunset). Worse, thin clouds are forecast to come into my area this afternoon.

I'm going to need a really bright fireball-- or I'm not going to see anything.

A few minutes ago on twitter...

PhG_Reentry Phobos Grunt
RT @riascience: Roskosmos narrows expected #PhobosGrunt reentry to a single orbit



So its likely to end up in the Pacific.

It's east of Australia now, could be coming down any minute.