posted on May, 5 2011 @ 03:37 AM
Originally posted by ruffagii
damn this is not going to be good, if war starts between israel and turkey, then whole middle east vs israel + US + UK forces which will bring in
russia and china = world war 3, not good
Neither the US nor the UK will be involved. If Israel attacks, the US and UK will find some excuse to ignore their NATO obligations to help Turkey. if
Turkey attacks, the US and UK will be confident that Israel can handle it. There will of course be the usual platitudes of "urging restraint" and
the US will, predictably, find some way to profit from the conflict on both sides - we're nothing if not scavengers.
However, war is a hugely unlikely scenario; as started, the blockade has been found illegal (duh). Israel thus has no legal pretext for war and no
interest in provoking one. Turkey also does not want a fight, and will also not be provoking one. One of the following three things will happen.
1) Israel will lift the blockade at the last moment
2) Standoff in international waters, resulting in the Flotilla turning to Egypt to have its material delivered via the Rafah crossing
3) Momentary standoff, with the Turks agreeing to searches and escort to their destination in Gaza.