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Seven years later, the now de-classified document - obtained by American journalists using Freedom of Information laws - reads like a shopping-list of the calamities that befell the oil-rich middle-Eastern country after the U.S.-led invasion. It outlines 29 eventualities that Pentagon officials had apparently planned for, but which had not yet happened-like Saddam uses WMD against U.S. or allied forces'.
1-Iraq descends into anarchy; 2-Iraq becomes Balkanized; 3- There are mass Iraqi casualties; 4- The oil infrastructure is severely damaged or destroyed; 5-Disruption of oil production causes widespread economic problems; 6- Another state (e.g. North Korea) takes advantage of U.S. focus on Iraq; 7- There is widespread vigilante justice; 8- Shi'a holy sites are damaged or destroyed; 9- A revolt of the 'Arab street' in Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, or Jordan causes political instability; 10- There is a dramatic surge in terrorist recruitment
Rumsfeld commissioned the memo in July 2004, just over a year after the initial invasion and four months after the lynching of four Blackwater mercenaries in Fallujah marked the beginning of a bloody insurgency. The memo emerged after Rumsfeld asked the Defense Department for a declassified version of the memo, along with thousands of others, to help prepare a memoir of his time in the White House.