posted on Jul, 19 2004 @ 04:24 PM
History doesn't support the theory that two elections in a row could be close, and certainly the likelihood of a repeat of 2000 is a mathematical
I believe I'm attuned to current events more than most. My estimation, and this has nothing to do with political preference, is that Bush will win
handily in November, regardless of the closeness now in the polls.
This reasoning is based upon several factors but the two major bases are (1) that Senators Kerry and Edwards are far more liberal than the country as
an entirety, however well they may do in Massachusetts and NYC. ; and (2) The US public, many of whom cannot even name the current vice-president or
secretary of state, will not be focused on the presidential election until after the Democratic and Republican conventions are over.
At the moment, polls indicate that most citizens know virtually nothing about the Democratic nominee. Several secrets about Senator Kerry will not
come to light until the press lasers in on the candidates as the election nears. His votes will be seen in the South as outside the mainstream
(example: Sen. Edwards, who is slightly less liberal than Sen. Kerry, is from North Carolina; Kerry-Edwards - where Edwards is well known - are 15
points behind Bush Cheney in todays' poll.)
Sen Kerry is alleged to have had a mistress who was paid off to move to Africa and allegedly still receiving money from someone for support. His
voting record will be all over commercials within two months. A non-partisan Bible Code website recently posted an alleged finding, "Senator Kerry
(will) exxagerate Vietnam" (presumably related to his Senate testimony that soldiers were killing women and children en masse.).
So hold your bets on a close election. Nothing in the past supports that, but there's always may be a first time, however unlikely.