A Thesis, page 1
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Topic started on 15-7-2004 @ 11:03 AM by radardog
I contend any possible alien visitors are not peaceful. Why? Let's argue from evolution. First, suppose evolution is true for all places. This means the more fit organisms are more likely to reproduce; those with advantages in the habitat tend to be the more fit.

What advantage does a large brain (correlated to intelligence) give you? It gives you the ability to make tools -- technology. Humans a frail compared to most animals, but what makes us successful is our intelligence. And we have to remember that the most basic instinct and purpose of all animals is to a) survive and b) breed. <-- This is evolution at its heart.

Going on, like all natural things, aliens will have limited resources. Therefore, getting to a planet at all would be a large investment. For example, the only way Columbus got funding was to claim it would make its financers money. To put it shortly, there are no rational reasons for an alien to throw away resources. This means there should be some sort of investment in coming to earth.

These are now our possible motivations:

a) A net gain in resources.
b) For survival.
c) For breeding.

For an easily supported assumption, I also contend a net gain in resources helps in both survival and breeding. Therefore, if we reduce motivations even more, any possible alien visit is probably for a net gain in resources.

What does this mean? A rational agent tends to want to maximize their resources. Negociation is not typically a way to maximize resources from this planet. This leads to only one conclusion: Warfare is inevitable.


reply posted on 16-7-2004 @ 04:32 AM by Koka
On this very planet we have different cultures that subscribe to different values. The example regarding Dolphins and Whales, is a prime one. Japan believes it has the right to go Whaling where as a large degree of the worlds population disagrees. Thousands of Dolphins are caught and killed in Tuna nets every year and in Taiji they are slaughtered in their hundreds for the Japanese market.



We still do this, although we are mean't to be the most advanced animal on the planet.

With over 6 billion subjects to choose from, who's gonna miss a couple of thousand of us each year?

I believe Radrdog's theory has credence, now all we need is evidence that aliens actually exist.

[edit on 16-7-2004 by Koka]


reply posted on 16-7-2004 @ 12:15 PM by radardog
Originally posted by EnronOutrunHomerun
Overpopulation is a major concern in our day-to-day lives...but what about the concern of genetics.....we can barely control the spread od AIDS ... this is perhpas 1-2% of our world population.....consider third world countires that thirve off of contaminated breast milk......these people are not usaing excess energey, but survivng off of what is provided - and like it or not, population-wise, they are the majority....

[edit on 7/16/2004 by EnronOutrunHomerun]



Third world countries are those who have a current concern of overpopulation. They can not provide themselves enough resources to survive. As a result, we do see many of them starving to death. Not to mention, those too have technology; nearly all of them have some sort of shelter that protects them from the elements -- the technology they do have helps them survive a little better than no technology. Moreover, HIV can be medicated enough nowadays that one can live a pretty full healthy life with it.

Once first world nations have more population than it can provide for, biologically, the same sort of problems third world nations have with starvation, the first world nations will too. The fact is, if humans continue to reproduce exponentially (which occurs for nearly every other species on Earth), then eventually we will run out of space and food.

Where else to find more space and food than a planet like Earth, assuming we found one? We, too, will need to expand for resources -- perhaps other intelligent beings are doing just that.


reply posted on 19-7-2004 @ 11:28 AM by EnronOutrunHomerun
It makes sense that this will eventually occur...I don't think that it would ever reach a level such that we would be in the same boat as third world nations....we have the luxury and ability to plan for future generations, while their primary concern is with keeping their current population alive. thus negating that possibility, short of some major disaster that could occur at any moment, but even then....we have plans, and sadly they do not

I think the US gov't really started taking this seriously when they began exploring the possibility of living underwater in the 50s - considering it's 99% of Earth's space, it would be the next logical step....but after the space race man had visions of other possibilites, more distant than before - With modern day pollution levels, it is quickly becoming the only solution

But that is our situation here on Earth.....how do we know that an alien species even requires excess resources? Some species may be able to function in their own environment w/o anything more.....maybe their features compose the majority of the rest of what's out there...maybe they don't....but we also thrive off of many varied and specialized resources - some have multiple uses and some only have one - we could be so far ahead or so far behind certain species that we are a speck on the horizon

I also think we would see a greater chance of the explotation of resources on planets within our own solar system before they would decide to attack a planet with such a large population - either to allow more time for reinforcements or to see our potential strength and to gadge from our intial attempt at what will be required for elimination

Or there's always they possibility that they have equal morality as our own and will be like the friendly neighbor going next door for a cup and a half of sugar....of course that's more utopian, but still a possibility...

All this thrives off of the belief that they have evolved in a smiliar econmic nature of supply and demand....and that could be way off.....maybe they're all a bunch of Ted Bundy's who just want to kill and maybe they're a bunch of Ghandi's, extending a helping hand and desiring peace - or a mix, just like us....they can't obviously be more knowledgable than us though....or else they would know that in a general sense, we all want peace, we would gladly share or establish trade and that we wish no harm....short of being some invading hord that lacks any common sense, they would be proven less intelligent than us to deny that chance


reply posted on 19-7-2004 @ 11:26 PM by radardog
"considering it's 99% of Earth's space, it would be the next logical step....but after the space race man had visions of other possibilites, more distant than before - With modern day pollution levels, it is quickly becoming the only solution"

Underwater is REALLY hard. Considering we have made it to the moon, but we haven't touched the bottom of some trenches. However, in either case, this is the same concept: expansion.

"alien species even requires excess resources"

I'm not talking about excess resources. I'm just talking about resources. And every living thing we know of at least requires some type of resource. Something, assuming they have a chemical makeup, must be had for those organisms to continue to produce energy.

"I also think we would see a greater chance of the explotation of resources on planets within our own solar system before they would decide to attack a planet with such a large population "

Consider how far we've been able to look through the universe so far. It is the odd fact, that most of the planets we've observed outside our solar system are thought to be gas giants. It could be the case that the Earth is the closest and cheapest planet to go to.

Morality or not -- we're talking biologically. Both Ghandi and Hitler had to eat (eventually, for Ghandi's case).


"Alien race by Human standards. On Earth we call this Ethnocentrism, meaning that you judge other cultures by the standards of your own culture. "


When have I even mentioned a human culture? I have been going off of evolution and the implications thereof. Nor am I judging the hypothetical alien culter; just stating that if it is biological, then it will need resources.

If anything, I am being Evolutioncentric -- which I have already stated that I first assumed that they were a product of evolution.
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