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September 16 (arbitrary date on my part) market begins to seriously fall. That's when we may get some bank closings and market holidays.
October 25th either we get the Israeli attack on Iran in here or the WHO says 'shut off all international air travel' and the future of globalism becomes really sketchy and the markets drop to (or below) their 6,626 lows on a weekly closing basis we saw in March.
Things come down through November and into early December only to be followed by a modest rally in the early part of 2010. But not for long because...
Super Crash happens in March/April of 2010. That's the one where I may come out on the winning side of an option short play in a huge way, but the 'winnings' are really meaningless since the inflation rate will be going moonward in there.