2012: No Killer Solar Flare, page 1
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reply posted on 19-7-2009 @ 01:49 AM by OrwellWasAnOptimist
This is an article I found on NASA's website while searching out 2012 information.

Link -
science.nasa.gov...

From the beginning of the article -

"March 10, 2006: It's official: Solar minimum has arrived. Sunspots have all but vanished. Solar flares are nonexistent. The sun is utterly quiet.

Like the quiet before a storm.

This week researchers announced that a storm is coming--the most intense solar maximum in fifty years. The prediction comes from a team led by Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). "The next sunspot cycle will be 30% to 50% stronger than the previous one," she says. If correct, the years ahead could produce a burst of solar activity second only to the historic Solar Max of 1958."


The article goes on to predict the next Solar Max at around 2012.

My question would be this - If the galactic alignment is occurring at the same time, could it produce disruptions in our magnetosphere that would weaken it enough for these flares to be a serious problem?


reply posted on 19-7-2009 @ 02:00 AM by Phage
reply to post by OrwellWasAnOptimist


That prediction is three years old. It has been updated.
The panel predicts the upcoming Solar Cycle 24 will peak in May 2013 with 90 sunspots per day, averaged over a month. If the prediction proves true, Solar Cycle 24 will be the weakest cycle since number 16, which peaked at 78 daily sunspots in 1928, and ninth weakest since the 1750s, when numbered cycles began.

spaceweather.com...



reply posted on 19-7-2009 @ 02:13 AM by grantbeed
reply to post by Sliick



i disagree that our Sun could not produce a killer flare. Killing comes in many forms and the most likely scenario IMHO is that a big flare could knock out power supplies for a long period.

This itself could cause a catastrophe. we have never been so dependant on Electricity as we are now.

The 1859 storm caused major damage as documented here -

www.space.com...



Society back then did not notice the storm the way it would today. The telegraph was 15 years old. There were no satellite TV feeds, no automated teller machines relying on orbiting relay stations, and no power grids


I guess there are many factors that come into play as to whether we will be seriously affected.

In this case it seems like it was the speed of the Plasma Ejection hurtling towards our planet that made the difference.



The blob came at exceptionally high speeds. It took only 17 hours and 40 minutes to go from the Sun to Earth." Solar storms typically take two to four days to traverse the 93 million miles (150 million kilometers).


Aircraft also, may be highly affected if this scenario were to happen again. If we can interefere with Aviation Communications with cellphones, then imagine what a huge Sloar Flare could do??


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