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(CNNMoney.com) -- For the 12th consecutive month, small businesses made deep staffing cuts: Companies with 500 or fewer workers cut 430,000 positions in January, according to the latest ADP (ADP, Fortune 500) employment report, released Wednesday.
Small employers are typically the last to cut jobs and the first to create them, which makes January's job-loss numbers a worrying omen for the rest of the year. Joel Prakken, chairman of ADP's research partner, Macroeconomic Advisers, doesn't expect improvement any time soon.
Even if Congress and the White House can agree on a huge program of fresh spending and tax cuts to get the economy going again, it could take years to create enough new jobs to hire the idle workers back and keep up with the ongoing growth in the labor force, economists say.
Once again I am mystified by how such a mind boggling number of layoffs can be announced in the morning and the stock market goes up for that day. It is right up there with betting on the Lions to win the Super Bowl next year. It simply evades common sense and logic.
Even if Congress and the White House can agree on a huge program of fresh spending and tax cuts to get the economy going again, it could take years to create enough new jobs to hire the idle workers back and keep up with the ongoing growth in the labor force, economists say.
State Unemployment Websites Crash as Jobless Claims Continue to Soar
02/05/09 09:49 am (EST)
(CEP News) - U.S. jobless claims soared above expectations on Thursday, and confirmed the worst is not yet over for the U.S. labor market. Paul Ashworth, economist at Capital Economics, said the rise in initial jobless claims from 591,000 to 626,000 for the week ending Jan. 31 - the highest level since 1982 - "suggests that labour market conditions are still deteriorating."
He expects that 550,000 job losses for the whole month of January will be revealed in tomorrow's government nonfarm payrolls report.
Ian Pollick, economist at TD Securities, said one of the most disturbing aspects of the release was that California, Ohio, New York and North Carolina all reported their online claims sites crashed, "suggesting that this already weak number could have been even worse."
"With state benefit websites crashing due to overcapacity we believe that the risk for next week's jobless claims could be higher yet," he said.
Overall, continuing claims now sit at 4.788 million.
John Ryding, economist at RDQ Economics, said today's report will put additional political pressure on Washington to pass President Barack Obama's proposed $890 billion stimulus plan. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, in an interview with the Wall Street Journal, said he will reveal the outline of his financial plan next week, promising aggressive action.
Tomorrow will see the release of the key U.S. government nonfarm payrolls report. Economists expect that 540,000 jobs were lost in January, after 524,000 jobs were cut in December.
On a positive note, economists at Nomura said even though over 600,000 jobless claims haven't been reported since 1982, it can't be forgotten that, at the time, the workforce was much smaller.
They said layoffs would have to surpass 900,000 to match the kind of damage wreaked in the early 80s. "As bad as the job market is - and is likely to become - we haven't matched the weakness of the 1981-82 recession," they said.
Originally posted by Doomsday 2029
We can always join the military if times get really tough.