Odds are Aliens are not here, page 1
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ATS Members have flagged this thread 2 times
Topic started on 4-12-2008 @ 01:12 AM by majestictwo
There appears to be so many threads that are all too willing to promote that aliens are visiting us. The argument that there are billions of star systems, which probably have a solar system that can support some kind of life, is indeed compelling at a first glance.

Earlier this year science daily reported on the probability of finding another earth like planet with intelligent life. Is there anybody out there? Probably not, according to a scientist from the University of East Anglia. The mathematical model produced by Prof Andrew Watson suggests that the odds of finding new life on other Earth-like planets are low, given the time it has taken for beings such as humans to evolve and the remaining life span of Earth.

You can find the full article here

Link


Anyhow now there is a new piece of research by Harvard geochemist Charles Langmuir who said “Human degradation of the environment has the potential to stall an ongoing process of planetary evolution, and even rewind the evolutionary clock to leave the planet habitable only by the bacteria that dominated billions of years of Earth’s history.”

You can find the full article here

Link

Remember the original proposal is “Odds are Aliens are not here” I don't doubt that life exists just that they are unlikely to be here. I don't now if this has been put forward in a thread before (odds are yes but I couldn’t find it) certainly not lately so it’s worth a revisit if it has.

The main issues in regard to these two articles are:-
Will we survive our evolutionary steps to become aliens to others?
Would other civilisations survive there own evolutionary steps to become aliens to us?

There may be other issues not presented here….. Look forward to your thoughts for and against


reply posted on 4-12-2008 @ 02:11 AM by alienesque
reply to post by majestictwo



as far as im concerned its odds on aliens have been here since the dawn of our history.

our universe..only one of what it appears is an infinite number..is so very old the idea that our planet has never been found and visited by entities who didnt develop here is to me simply ridiculous.

in whats basically an infinite amount of time and space almost anything and everything would seem to be possible....i honestly cant see how anyone can say..outright..that its almost impossible or at the least highly unlikely that we have been visited.


reply posted on 4-12-2008 @ 02:25 AM by alienesque
reply to post by Havoc40k




hello

well..maybe they are not examining us..maybe they are editing us.


reply posted on 4-12-2008 @ 02:33 AM by Havoc40k
reply to post by alienesque



But to what end are they "editing us"? Do they want to develop Earth into a space-side diner with 42 different flavours of human on the menu? Or perhaps as slaves to do all their dirty work, like cleaning space-flies off their Ships' Windows? Or maybe just to improve us for the greater good of the universe, with a benevolent tinge of travelling-pilgrim type goodwill?

It's a question I don't think we will ever have the answer to...

That said, I repead that I do NOT doubt that they visit us. I just do not see the point of traversing such distances, Faster-than-light travel or not, just to snatch hundreds of people each year and perform invasive experiments on them.

[edit on 4-12-2008 by Havoc40k]



reply posted on 4-12-2008 @ 02:40 AM by alienesque
reply to post by Havoc40k



hi..ive go no idea...i just dont like to think we have the slightest idea what they are doing here..they could be doing any number of things..


reply posted on 4-12-2008 @ 02:54 AM by MilitaryMan
reply to post by majestictwo



You know I'm starting to have this change in me. Lately I'm just starting to become more of a dis-believer. I think it's honestly made me much more grounded. Enjoyed reading the article.


reply posted on 4-12-2008 @ 03:38 AM by majestictwo
Originally posted by MilitaryMan
reply to
post by majestictwo



You know I'm starting to have this change in me. Lately I'm just starting to become more of a dis-believer. I think it's honestly made me much more grounded. Enjoyed reading the article.


I a not trying to change any minds one way or the other. The articles make some valid points and if you think about it the odds are extremely high they are not here. I’m not saying they are not here, just the odds are against it - big time


reply posted on 4-12-2008 @ 04:26 AM by Lasheic
Both points are pretty much baseless speculation. So since we're speculating...

Firstly, just because it took human level intelligence this long to evolve on Earth, doesn't mean that similar levels of intelligence could not develop sooner on other planets - or later, but on planets that orbit around stars which much greater lifespans than Earth's. Indeed, while there's absolutely nothing to support this claim - there's really nothing to indicate that human-level intelligence could not even have evolved long ago in Earth's history.

Note: Human level intelligence does not mean human level of technology or society - only intelligence levels. Of which we have several species of currently extinct hominid which suggest that a roughly human level of intelligence was around long before modern humans.

Also note: Our sun is only half-way through it's estimated life cycle, and has about a billion years left before it starts to exhaust it's fuel supply and burn hotter - slowly making this planet uninhabitable to life as we know it. Humans have only been around for an estimated 200,000 years and most of our technological progress has been made in only the last few hundred years. In a few hundred more years, and certainly within the next few millenia, we'll have the capability for extra-planetary travel into space reliably. If this happens, then when the sun does die, it will not mean the end of our species. Only the end of our original homeworld. (However, by then, I would suspect that our continual merger with technology will have advanced us beyond merely "human" by that point)

Secondly: I don't think humanity has the capability of rendering this planet uninhabitable to all but bacterial live via climate change. That's a silly supposition. This Earth has seen many cataclysms far more devastating than humanity. For instance, the 10-mile wide asteroid impact which heralded the extinction of the dinosaurs did more damage to this planet than all of the damage humanity has dealt it in our 200,000 year history combined - and thensome. Not to mention it happened in a much, much shorter time frame. Even all of our nuclear stockpiles combined could not even come close to matching the destructive power of that asteroid. Yet here we are a paltry 65 million years later.

This extinction level event wasn't even the worst or most cataclysmic in Earth's history. There have been extinction level events so catastrophic that it destroyed nearly 80% (or more) known life on the planet at the time. While I have no doubt that humanity is ushering in a new era of extinction level events - I can't really see it being as devastating as what the Earth has already undergone. Indeed, extinction level events seem to occur in fairly regular cycles on this Earth. I could speculate that such events happen on other planets which harbor life as well. To what regularity or severity, I don't know. If life can bounce back and create us, I see no reason why it would could not be so on other planets.

Although I have no definitive proof, I do find the idea of Earth being the only spark of life in the universe preposterous. I find the idea of humans being the only intelligent life in the universe highly unlikely. I find the idea of aliens visiting Earth to be somewhat plausible - albeit I don't necessarily think that they are, or that they are behind the UFO phenomena. To accept the stories and conspiracy theories surrounding aliens found on this site seems to me to be too far of a stretch of logic based on far far too scant few amounts of reliable evidence.

I will say this however - that I believe our first definitive contact with alien life will happen within this century, and I believe that our first contact will alien life will be in the form of discovering microscopic organisms within our solar system. It will not be intelligent life. There's enough evidence for the diversity of life in hostile environments on Earth to support the supposition that life may have adapted to thrive in the upper atmosphere and even space. There's plenty of tests which show that certain bacteria, yeast, molds, etc, can at least survive conditions in space. Some have even demonstrated their survivability of reentry.



reply posted on 4-12-2008 @ 06:58 AM by InfaRedMan
reply to post by majestictwo



I disagree! Odds are completely reliant on our limited understanding of the Universe, and of the spectrum of life itself. Also most of these other-world models are based on ours (one single planet) in conjunction with human activity and it's repercussions.

We must allow room for all the variables mentioned above to be completely different.. and therefore their outcomes equally different. The studies you cite are every bit as ambiguous as the Drake Equation. We know stuff all and these studies reinforce that notion.

This is dartboard science, nothing more!

IRM


reply posted on 4-12-2008 @ 08:45 AM by NephraTari
reply to post by NavalFC



Evidence is only lacking for those not fortunate enough to have seen a UFO firsthand. Those who have seen one or many have all the evidence they need that more is going on than we are being told.
I have honestly lost count of the things I have seen but there are a few that just defy any possible earthly origin. I have no doubts. I think it is a shame that many people will never know that for themselves, but it is just the way it is. I can't explain why some people will have multiple sightings while others will never see anything in their lifetime. It may be a simple question of awareness and an ability to accept what you are seeing. I think some people have seen them and tell themselves some excuse to dismiss it out of fear.

But thats just my opinion.
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