posted on Nov, 3 2008 @ 01:51 PM
Boeing has been maintaining the '4th quarter 2008' target for their 787 first flight ever since the last delay was announced, and also repeated it
several times during the IAM strike press conferences.
Now the strike is over, there are 58 days remaining of this year, meaning Boeing has 58 days in which to get Dreamliner 001 into the air to meet their
Can they do it? Will we see a 787 fly this year?
Just before the IAM strike, Boeing realigned a couple of its schedule targets - the first Dreamliner was scheduled to be 'work complete' on the 31st
August and have its first flight as 29th October, but the work completion date was shifted to the 6th October without any strike delay taken into
The IAM strike began on the 7th September and concluded on the 1st November - meaning Boeing lost its new work completion deadline as it was pushed
back by at least 29 days.
IAM returned to work on the 2nd, but realistically actually returned to production on the 3rd.
That means that, on the basis of a 'one for one' day delay, Boeing is looking to complete Dreamliner 001 in 28 days from now - bringing us to the
1st December 2008 for work completion.
On their last schedule, Boeing was looking at 59 days between work completion and first flight - has this shortened at all? If not, we are looking at
first flight well into first quarter 2009.
Lots of variables at work here, but my gut feeling is that we wont see a 787 in the air this year.