The crisis is over?, page 1
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Topic started on 13-10-2008 @ 12:57 PM by airlouche
Just read this article on cnn...

money.cnn.com...

Some investors think that the worst is behind us now.
Can this crisis be resolve so quick...so easily.

I really dont understand what's going on (I know i'm not alone) Last week stock crumble, every day of the week is black!

Then G7 meeting this week-end, european country to buy toxic mortgage.
And monday every country gain 5 to 10% on their indexes?

I really dont understand, can this crisis be over so quicky?


reply posted on 13-10-2008 @ 01:18 PM by uk today
reply to post by airlouche



The tsunami is still to come when the QUADTRILLION derivatives market unwinds i'ts ugly head. DEAD CAT BOUNCE at the moment.Here in the uk we have our saviour of the world,Mcbroon,prophesing that all will be ok,when in reality our once great country will become bankrupt.We just a'int got the dough to be bailing out these banks.FIGHT THE NEW WORLD ORDER.


reply posted on 13-10-2008 @ 01:21 PM by RockCore
reply to post by airlouche



Why does anyone think that anything happens in a vacuum. This ON-GOING event started with the establishment of the Federal Reserve, and won't stop being a crisis until the FedRes is decommissioned.

What I'm saying is; We're not out of the woods, until we stop acting like children who need a parent. We, America, need to grow up, and be on our own.


reply posted on 13-10-2008 @ 04:12 PM by St Udio
if we look past the world-wide bailout...
with central banks & national treasuries taking over the functions that banks once did -->>
(i.e. provide loans & credit to every level of business and trade.)


the euphoria going on will soon reverse itself....
Why?... because the government intervention & behaving like banks...

in providing the maximum 84 day 'short-term' loan packages to every business operating in the particular central banks' country,
will come to an abrupt end.
The G-20/G-7/et al.... are on board for buying all private-commercial paper (debt), for right now.


the reason all the central banks accepted this program, is because they feel that the banking sector will (sometime) start to lend money, to keep the worlds economy going- - and this bailout program is the imputus/'starters pistol' for the banks to actually do what they are supposed to do ---which is: { to extend credit & make loans}




in several days from now... Tuesday should be another rally as the 'Bond' issues & bond-markets will be addressed, in the same type of (suckers) bailout by the different governments and their central banks.

but after all this misplaced euphoria dissapates... the markets will realize that the central banks & government treasuries have no long term plans to keep bailing out the non-loaning banks...


I expect the banks may reluctantly make loans to the very best customers at something like LIBOR + 5 points,
and there will be no companies or corporations willing to pay those extortion rates to keep a 3% profit business running.
And the central banks/national treasuries will not renew or further extend the bailout program to buy up commercial paper that keeps the system running !



its all down hill


reply posted on 14-10-2008 @ 02:26 AM by Cyberbian
It's not over yet, If you chart the last 3 months, and you see a big W then maybe it really is over right now you see the first V of the W. Either way it will drop again severly in the next few days or weeks.

The real question is will it keep dropping or form a W. Very often there is a "dead cat bounce" people who are overly optimistic and greedy, think they can jump in and buy things up as a bargain, and end up getting burned severely.

The market has only been dropping for 1 year, the great depression took two years of dropping. Just consider the possability of the worst being yet to come, where the market is worth 1/10 of a percent what it was worth at the beginning of the year. It is way to early to get excited about a recovery.


Either way we are on the highway to hyper-inflation.
Ordinarily if the market drops money should be expected to be removed from circulation to match the drop. After all those trillions have left the economy. The stocks are not worth as much as they were yesterday.

However the value of our investments has dropped greatly, and they are instead pumping more dollars into the street. There are fewer dollars worth of investments to buy, but more dollars to buy them with.

These more dollars mean that to buy the other things which there still the same amount of like food and homes will take more dollars, they have been watered down, like adding water to wine, there is more wine but it is diluted, more watery. But no one is handing you more dollars, you will be paid the same. So you will not be able to buy as much, only the bankers will be able to buy more. Everything you own and hope to own will be diluted, some of it taken from you and handed to a banker. Many will loose there jobs and no longer get any money. Many already have.
While they have less now, they soon will not be able to buy as much with the little they have left.

This will effect the greedy banks and businesses too. And they will once again start to seize up. Because the cause of the problem, their greed and untrustworthyness have not been addressed, it has been rewarded.

The bankers and executives will dive in for one last round at the great banquet, before it closes forever.

Credit is powered by trust, and they are so greedy and untrustworthy that they no longer trust one another. This recovery is based on an appeal to their greed, and therefore doomed to escalate the damage.




[edit on 14-10-2008 by Cyberbian]

[edit on 14-10-2008 by Cyberbian]
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