Originally posted by an0maly33
if anyone has any more ideas i'd love to hear them.
Believe it or not there's an entire forum called Survival Techniques
dedicated to this exact thing. The Peak Oil forum is more of a when than a how-to forum so you won't see too much of that discussion here.
I think you're partly right. We should at least look at alternatives to cut corners and save money. I don't believe that oil is going to be gone
*poof*, but that the production will gradually decline and cause ever-increasing prices. What we're seeing is situations like the
(One of the top 5 oil fields in the world) where the production is slipping
away. One by one these giant fields will go out like the flood-lights at a football stadium, leaving only the lesser lights of concession stands and
walk-way lighting to carry on. We'll still be able to do what we did before, but it will cost us a lot more.
I'm sure at least one Peak-oil denier will show up and talk about all the new technologies and yet to be discovered oil fields. It's all window
dressing in store that's running out of supplies. Peak oil deniers are hyping the window dressing and ignoring the store shelves that get more and
more empty each year. It's as if they were running a store that claimed more marketing and the search for new suppliers would save them, while an
ever-growing supply of customers keeps pulling merchandise off the shelves at a steadily incresing rate. It's called denial.
Where are the new supplies of oil? Where's the oil field that will replace the Cantarell in Mexico? As for new technology all it does it help us use
up the remaining oil faster and faster shortning the amount of time we have left.
by 1981 the Cantarell complex was producing 1.16 million barrels (180,000m³) per day. However, the production rate dropped to 1 million barrels
(160,000 m³) per day in 1995. The nitrogen injection project started operating in 2000, and it increased the production rate to 1.6 million barrel/d
(250,000 m³/d), to 1.9 million barrel/d (300,000 m³/d) in 2002 and to 2.1 million barrel/d (330,000 m³/d) of output in 2003, which ranks Cantarell
the second fastest producing oil field in the world behind Ghawar Field in Saudi Arabia.
This is the critics answer to peak oil. New technologies will save us, but let's look at what actually happened. By 2003 the Cantarell went from
being a declining field to the second best in the world. Hurray for technology. All we really managed to do was hurry up the depletion of this great
oil field. By 2004 it was obvious that the Cantarell was declining despite their best efforts. By the end of this decade it's doubtful that Mexico
will even export any oil. What's left will be used internally.
By 2008 it is estimated that Cantarell will only produce 1 million barrel/d (160,000 m³/d) as it continues to decline. This rapid decline is
postulated to be a result of production enhancement techniques causing faster oil extraction at the expense of field longevity.
We'll probably see the same result from Saudi Arabia within a year or two at the rate their going. Just like Mexico and the giant Cantarell, Saudi
Arabia depends on the the giant Ghawar Field
for over 60% of it's oil exports. In this giant
field we are seeing the same symptoms that Mexico had. Decling production was propped up with new technology yet all they are succeeding in doing is
bringing the end of this field to a closer date.
"Saudi Aramco is injecting a staggering 7 million barrels of sea water per day back into Ghawar, the world's largest oilfield, in order to prop up
pressure. It accounts for 30% of Saudi oil reserves and up to 70% of daily output." "Doubts grow about Saudi As Global Swing Producer," Aberdeen
Press & Journal Energy, April 5, 2004, p. 15
If they are pumping in 7 million barrels of sea-water a day and only getting out 5 million barrels of oil you don't have to be a genius to see that
this field is about to go belly-up too.
[edit on 10-8-2007 by dbates]