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Originally posted by Rickey Gerard Perez
I can see Sudan splitting into two countries (with China and Russia funding the north and the United States and Britain funding the south). I can see Afghanistan, Iraq, and Kuwait becoming strategic partners.
I don't see Iran and Syria controlled by the U.S. just yet... Iran and Syria are Russian/Chinese Territory.
Basically what I see is a Cold War between the U.S., Britain, Australian, Japan, India, EU, Southern Sudan, Iraq-Kuwait-Afghanistan Alliance
Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, Syria.
Some interesting things to think about:
The fall of communism in Venezuela.
The fall of communism in Cuba
I'm not so sure that communism will fall in those two nations. Most of South-America is going hard to the left, and Venezuelan actions are likely to actually foster socialist or even communist development in the Caribbean. Cuba may well find itself giving communism another chance, probably with a face very different from Fidel Castro's though.
If I was going to look for any development in South America, I would be concerned about the Columbians pushing Venezuela too far over the FARC issue and starting a war. If that happens, you could be looking at trouble in Panama and we might even start have to really wondering about what might happen in Mexico if the Republican party ever does crack down on immigration etc. I think that the Russians have pretty well figured out why the first half of the cold war went so bad for them- virtually the whole thing was played on their side of the field. We've been running around marking out territory in their back yard ever since they slipped, but now they're starting to mark some territory on our side to compensate.
It also bears mentioning that India's loyalty isn't a sure thing for us. We may be able to earn it in East Africa, but India has a lot to think about at far as China is concerned, not just militarily but economically as well- India would do better to work in tandem with China than to compete with them economically.
It's one heck of a chess game we've got going here.