posted on Apr, 18 2005 @ 01:43 AM
After watching the movie Supervolcano five times now (god bless DVR) I have grown to wonder whether the movie was designed to send a message or not.
Let me explain why I say this and what I think the message is.
As most all of you know it has been over 600,000 years since Yellowstone last had a super eruption. It has only been since the early to mid 1900's
that we even knew that there is/was a volcano there. It wasn't until around 1980 that we knew how big. Our knowledge of the existance of the
geothermal features in the area can go back absolutely no more than 250 years and I am being VERY generous with that number. I'd bet it is more like
half. Does anyone even want to being to guess when we started scientific research there? I believe it was in the 90's or perhaps closer to the year
2000 that the volcano observatory opened in Yellowstone (i might be wrong on the years but I don't think so.). Basically our knowledge of this place
is extremely limited.
Now what do have to compare it to? Nothing in reality. We have no idea what "ready to erupt" means for a caldera type system like this. We can
guess but we really don't know. We don't know what the park was like 300 years ago. We don't know how much uplift there has been beyond 100
years. We may or may not be at the end of the uplift phase. We don't know how extreme the geothermal activity has to get to signal an impending
eruption. Will it get worse? Or is it as bad as it gets? Find any place on the planet that has activity that compares. I doubt you will find
In the past few years there has been all kinds of activity as you have seen noted in the movie. There was a significant earthquake swarm in the park
as recent as last April I believe. Something in the order of 500 quakes. Now things have gotten very quiet. Why? Has the work been completed? If
there is no more rock to break then that would mean a great reduction in quakes. Would we actually know if they were picking up harmonic tremors?
Probably not. I find it unlikely that we would ever be told. This would be for basically the reasons given in the movie. Panic. Civil unrest. It
would be total chaos and a break down of society. Lets face it there really isn't much you can do besides ride it out. Where are you going to move
countless millions of people? You'd have probably 100 million people trying to evacuate 2/3rds of the US. It just isn't managable.
IF this sort of thing were to happen I think there would be value in putting out a movie like Supervolcano. Now where is what I think the message
In the movie they try and lead people to believe the eruption will be a Mount St. Helens size. Something on the order of a VEI 5. They let you know
it will need to have enough food and water for 3 days. They cover in details the zones, how much ash, what the ash will do. How it effects
electronics. How the weight can collapse a roof. They tell you how harmful it is if inhaled. You are given visual tips on how to protect yourself.
Then they go into what happens with the VEI 8. They let you know 7 to 9 days of eruption. Then how many weeks it will take before supplies can be
airlifted. You are given information about walk-to-life. It is telling people that no one will come to you and that you have to come to them.
I am sure it is me being a bit paranoid but it did cover quite a bit of information. And lets face it who here really knows what to do in the event
of ANY volcanic eruption? Most people in the US have never had to deal with it. As long as I can remember in my life there has been only one active
volcano and that is St. Helens. Unless you have lived in the footprint of an active volcano you would have no clue. This just got the message out to
millions of people what to do in the event of a Yellowstone eruption.
Please chime in with your thoughts on this. All thoughts are welcome. Pro and Con. Doesn't matter. Lets hear it.