Caveat: All this is true ONLY IF Bernie can win the other swing states Hillary won, which are:
She won those by 2 to 10 points.
Then the simplest way to look at this is this way:
The actual score in 2016 was Trump 306 electoral votes and Hillary 232. Though the official numbers were Trump 304 and Hillary 227. Some EC voters
switched sides and voted wrong.
We'll use these numbers, 306 to 232
The margin of victory was in these swing states below
IF Bernie can maintain the swing states Hillary won in 2016 then all he needs to win is to take 38 votes from Trump.
Add 38 to 232 it equals exactly 270 and Trump would go to 268 and lose.
Where is Bernie going to get those EC votes from?
ONLY these potential states can Bernie get 38 votes
So, if, for example, Bernie wind Florida ( 29 Electoral College votes) and Pennsylvania(20 EC V) He would win by 232 plus 49= Bernie 281, more than
enough to win
Bernie is very unlikely to win Florida so let's take that out and you have left
Above are the only places Bernie can get the 38 ECVs, in any combination above that gets him equal or more than 38 ECVs.
So, for example, Bernie can win all of them and he gets his 38 and more. Or he can just win Penn(20) and Ohio( 18) and he gets the 38 exactly. Or he
can win a combination of only three of them. Penn/Wis/Ohio or Penn.
That’s Bernie ONLY rode to victory.
The easiest way for Trump to win is very simple:
IF the Hillary Trump race stays the same then on election night IF Trump wins Pennsylvania and Florida early, he is going to win. Then the above
Bernie road to victory is closed.
edit on 29-2-2020 by Willtell because: (no reason given)