posted on Jan, 9 2017 @ 03:37 PM
a reply to: Brian4real
I have a little different take on the subject. First, let me say I really would love to see it happen in my lifetime that a spaceship from some far
out galaxy shows up on the mall in Washington DC with all of the answers to the purpose of life and all of the peaceful intentions we all hope for.
The idea fascinates me and has held my attention since I was a kid and saw something in the sky that made no sense to me. It streaked across the sky,
about the size of a full moon, just as bright, with a long tail. It was speeding along faster than anything imaginable. I was about nine years old
and it scared the crap out of me. About the age of 45 as a career naval officer I had the experience of seeing video of what a satellite losing its
orbit looks like. Bingo! It was so precise to what I saw the video could have been of the one I saw. No question it was what I saw 35 years
During those years I read everything I could get my hands on on the subject, looking for answers. But that experience taught me that there is an
explanation for all of those UFO's people report. I even took up backyard astronomy to try and understand more about what is out there. (The first
time I trained my scope on Venus it looked exactly like many UFO photos I have seen in books or on the web).
So here is the truth as I see it: There are no visitors from another planet. And contrary to the common belief that there are so many galaxies, and
stars and Goldilocks zoned planets out there that there must be intelligent life somewhere I believe the math actually goes the opposite way. The
probability of life on Earth getting started and then evolving into intelligent life is so low it makes sense that the conditions present to allow
those odds to be successful is not likely to have been repeated anywhere else. I am not a chemist or biologist or astrophysicist but I understand
statistics pretty well and I know how such things are calculated. And the probability just doesn't allow for the miracle of life on earth to be
I do not know all of the factors. But I do know that there are scores of critical factors involved. Everything from the orbit of our Moon (why is
our moon the only one in our solar system without a name?), the tides, enzymes necessary for life, weather, radiation, our atmosphere, and the
thousands of factors that has happened in natural science to allow life to prosper. But each of those things (thousands) have a probability of
happening are astronomical. To calculate you must multiply the odds of each of these mutually exclusive events together to get a final factor. For
example here is a simple example of what I am talking about: Suppose you want to calculate the odds of you going to beach this weekend. First you
must identify the factors involved. Keeping it simple, first you need a swim suit (lets say since it is January the odds of you having one that fits
is about 40% or .4. Next the weather must be 90 degrees. If you live in Florida (and it is January) the odds of that are 20% or .2. Next how many
people would be there? If you are fat like me you may not want to expose your fat self to others and so the odds you would have a beach void of
others....30% or .3. There are other factors but lets just consider those three. They are mutually exclusive, meaning one does not depend on the
other, so to calculate the odds of you going to the beach this weekend is .4 x .2 x .3 or .024 or 2.4%. Now if you go back to the idea that life
occurred on Planet Earth the probability has many many zeros in the answer. No one knows for sure but it is like one in a trillion. So to then to go
further for two planets with those kinds of odds to happen to me is imponderable. And that assumes there is another Planet Earth with the exact
factors there as here. So far we have not found one. The closest we have is a planet that is larger than Earth which changes the odds.
My conclusion at this point is the universe math allows for one planet to start the very unlikely event of life happening and it is Earth. I do not
at this point believe it could have happened anywhere else just based on the math.
Of course there is so much to learn yet in the universe. There is more that we don't know than we do about the universe so there is more to come of
course. But right now anything we see in the sky as far as I am concerned was made right here on Planet Earth.