posted on Apr, 25 2014 @ 01:47 PM
There are some things that this guy is right about. I have stated in many threads that if war did break out, which I still don't think it will, it
will definitely NOT be a nuclear confrontation. This person states that this non-nuclear war would soon escalate with the use of tactical nuclear
weapons, and I think that is wrong. The ONLY way either side would use any types of nuclear weapons would be if they had lost any advantages they had,
and were threatened severely with losing. And if that happens, they will use nuclear-tipped ICBM's. Tactical nuclear warheads will not come into
play. Tactical nukes, for those who don't know, are designed for battlefield use. They are much smaller than those that would be launched on an ICBM
at another country.
Another thing this man is right about is the missile defense systems in place. In fact, Russia has a superior MDS when compared with the US, but
regardless, any system can be overrun relatively easily. He states that simulations suggested 300 warheads can be intercepted, which I think is quite
incorrect. Even if sims did show that, it will be far less in reality. I had always figured the US could take down approximately 100 incoming nuclear
missiles, so anything over that amount would detonate.
Something else that must be realized is that even if what he states is correct, although I believe he is incorrect about the number of US bases across
the globe, which is more like 600 or so, one must realize that the US is not going to push for war. If they feel there is any chance of actual
conflict, they will back off. That is IF they truly are pushing things in Ukraine, which I am not convinced of. It is plausible though, so I could be
I still do not believe Russia will invade Ukraine. Russia's main concern was holding Crimea, which is quite important to their military and overall
strategy, as it allows them the quickest access to certain parts of the world, including the ever important Mediterranean. So despite what seems to be
going on, Russia does not necessarily wish to control Ukraine. Well, they do in a way, and would if it could be done without condemnation from the
rest of the world, but Ukraine is too pro west at this point. I just do not think it is likely that Russia will decide to overrun the entire country.
I don't view that the same way as overrunning Crimea. That situation was much different, considering the population was only 25% Ukranian, and 50%
Russian, while Russia has a lease for another handful of decades and is allowed to station 25,000 troops there, as well as limited military hardware.
So of course they will go all out to protect what they've gained there.
Notice how they did that right away though? That is what they would have done if they were going to invade Ukraine. They have lost the element of
surprise, which has allowed defensive lines to be established, will mean more dead if they do decide to invade. I think that every day that passes
brings less fear of an invasion by Russia.