Major X2 Solar Flare / Sunspot 1339

Major X2 Solar Flare / Sunspot 1339

www.solarham.com

Sunspot 1339 produced a major X1.9 Solar Flare at 20:46 UTC Thursday evening. An R3 Level Radio Blackout and a 10cm Radio Burst resulted. More to follow.

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2011 Nov 03 2016 UTC
Maximum Time: 2011 Nov 03 2027 UTC
End Time: 2011 Nov 03 2032 UTC
Duration: 16 minutes
Peak Flux: 620 sfu

(visit the link for the full news article)


Related News Links:
www.abovetopsecret.com

BREAKING NEWS

So how major is a "major X2 solar flare"?

I know X-flares are right up there for severity but i also know that these flares can come and go with litte disruption, even if they are Earth-facing.

Can someone fill me n on the facts in reagrds to this?

IF Earth-facing is it a major deal?

Let's not forget that solar flares seem to affect the Earth's magnetic field and can lead to earthquakes.

We must keep an eye on this one i suspect...

www.solarham.com
(visit the link for the full news article)

No its minor in every respect.

You dont need to worry until you get up around X18. Not an X1.8.

Huge difference.

reply to post by Shadowalker


I suspected that an X2 flare was large but not a major alert.

It was more the wording of the websites info that concerned me - the use of the major often implies, well, something major

Spaceweather.com estimates it as X2

Earth-orbiting satellites have just detected an X2-class solar flare. The source is huge sunspot AR1339, described below. Stay tuned for updates. Solar flare alerts: text, voice.

reply to post by srsen


Doesn't seem like it can be Earth-bound given the position of AR1339?

www.swpc.noaa.gov...
Today's Space Weather
Updated 2011 November 4 00:23 UTC

3-day Solar-Geophysical Forecast issued Nov 03 22:00 UTC

Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be mostly moderate but there is a chance for additional major flare activity. The primary source of the elevated activity is expected to be Region 1339. There may also be a contribution to the M-flare activity from Region 1338.

Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled with a chance for active periods for the first day (04 November). There is also a slight chance for storm level activity on this day. The increase is expected as a result of a glancing blow from the CME that occurred on 31 October. Activity levels are expected to be quiet to unsettled for the second day (05 November) and quiet for the third day (06 November). Note that this forecast may need to be updated if an earthward directed CME is observed and associated with today's X-class event.

The flare comes from a huge sunspot

MAGNIFICENT SUNSPOT: One of the largest sunspots in years

It's a significant solar flare, but not so strong to make damages on Earth. But it's another confirmation of the fact that our star is heating up. Better keep always an eye on...

To have real and serious impact on Earth, a flare should be of magnitude similar to the famous "Carrington event" of the 19th century, that one is really a SHTF scenario

X1.8 great! Just strong enough and the perfect trajectory to alter YU55's path and send it slamming into Iran. Winning!

FYI: The biggest ever recorded solar flare was an X45!! Occured on November 4, 2003.

Thankfully it wasn't Earth-facing.... Link

Originally posted by srsen



Let's not forget that solar flares seem to affect the Earth's magnetic field and can lead to earthquakes.

edit on 3-11-2011 by srsen because: update flare size

No it doesn't seems to affect.
Yes, it affects the geomagnetic field.
But causes earthquakes?
Can you prove that, you got any data?

All previous data shows there is no connection between the two. Unless i missed some important data.

reply to post by srsen

It looks like the sun is waking up in a big way. I hope it makes nice northern lights like it did last time but seen from the west cost this time. I so want to see the northern lights with out freezing my buns off.

Originally posted by srsen



So how major is a "major X2 solar flare"?

About as major as a 5.5 earthquake.....just something to talk about, but it isn't going to do anything "major".

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2011 Nov 03 2016 UTC Maximum Time: 2011 Nov 03 2027 UTC End Time: 2011 Nov 03 2032 UTC Duration: 16 minutes Peak Flux: 620 sfu

reply to post by srsen


Can you crack the code here and
tell me what this is doing to radio
communications. Is there a total
blackout?

reply to post by crazydaisy


No blackouts, no dramas or anything at the moment.

Just one of th elarger flares this year - worth reporting.

I wouldnt worry too much about this one

Nothing to worry about,not yet.
The benevolent monster is yet to hit.

The sun shot off a flare Thursday afternoon from a region that scientists are calling a "benevolent monster." Scientists at the federal Space Weather Prediction Center say that region is the most active part of the sun since 2005. It has dozens of sunspots, including one that is the size of 17 Earths. Thursday's flare wasn't aimed at Earth. However, this active region is now slowly turning toward Earth. Scientists say that region will be directly facing Earth in about five days.

www.physorg.com...

But just to keep an eye on things,visit this site,
www.meteoquake.org...

reply to post by srsen


I was just trying to figure out what the
Solar.Ham link was speaking of in
the way of radio blackouts and radio
burst. The flare wasn't that big so
I couldn't figure why there would be
a blackout but I didn't know how to
read the alert.

Originally posted by crazydaisy
reply to post by srsen

 

I was just trying to figure out what the
Solar.Ham link was speaking of in
the way of radio blackouts and radio
burst. The flare wasn't that big so
I couldn't figure why there would be
a blackout but I didn't know how to
read the alert.

Maybe this will help.
It basically mean ham radios will experience static and cut outs.

www.swpc.noaa.gov...

Or maybe this one.
Scroll down to view the list of conditions of radio blackouts.
www.swpc.noaa.gov...


Also check this one out.
spaceweather.com...