URGENT: NASA: U.S. back in UARS satellite strike zone!!!!

Pretty Amazing this one has NASA wondering.

I am working on a time line when the US would be most
likly impacted between 10pm eastern tonight 9/23
and 5am eastern 9/24. Will post in a few min.
As per NASA's last update and estimation.

N2YO has it over the UK right now
Second

--It will be interesting to see where this one lands.

Originally posted by Phantom28804

Well from what I read and saw NASA says there is a 1-3200 odds of getting hit by the satellite With 8 billion people that don't feel very re-assuring to me.

edit on 9/23/2011 by Phantom28804 because: (no reason given)

Its a 1 in 3200 of anyone getting hit by it, so 8b x 3200 is the real chance.

You have more chance of winning the lottery and getting struck by lightning on the same day as being killed by space junk.

reply to post by WhoDat09

AA Warns Pilots to Watch for Falling NASA Satellite Debris

Seriously, there are so many planes in
the air, now not only do pilots have to pilot but
now they have to keep clear of incoming
space debris. If this wasn't so serious
it would almost be funny!!

scrap that...

Originally posted by Jools
reply to post by Trillium

 

Just my personal thoughts I think it's gonna be down around 1.00am....don't know what that means Eastern Daylight Time or whatever but from what people are posting up it seems to be descending more now...as regards where it lands (hope for no casualties) I think the odds are small....

We have to remember also this planet is 75% water.

Well next lowest pass should place it around Cuba and south tip of Florida
and next orbit after that it will be just east of me

reply to post by popsmayhem


Not to mention any valuable materials that may survive...like gold and silver. Would be great to have that land in the backyard.

I hope it crashed into my car (which needs a new water pump and transmission) so I can sue NASA for thousands of dollars.

Getting very close now. 4 hour window.

Update #11
Fri, 23 Sep 2011 01:30:46 PM GMT-1000

As of 7 p.m. EDT on Sept. 23, 2011, the orbit of UARS was 90 miles by 95 miles (145 km by 150 km). Re-entry is expected between 11 p.m. Friday, Sept. 23, and 3 a.m., Sept. 24, Eastern Daylight Time (3 a.m. to 7 a.m. GMT). During that time period, the satellite will be passing over Canada, Africa and Australia, as well as vast areas of the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceans. The risk to public safety is very remote.

www.nasa.gov...

I wasn't aware that NASA could play "hot potato" with the entire world. Seems like this may be a bit to dangerous for kids though.... I think I will dub it playing "earth potato" and will stick it next to the lawn darts!!

Originally posted by crazydaisy
reply to post by WhoDat09

 

AA Warns Pilots to Watch for Falling NASA Satellite Debris

Seriously, there are so many planes in
the air, now not only do pilots have to pilot but
now they have to keep clear of incoming
space debris. If this wasn't so serious
it would almost be funny!!

I hadn't even thought of that scenario. With the amount of air traffic world wide it seems just as good a chance as hitting somebody on the ground or hitting a building.

People talk about this satellite like it's a tiny thing the size of Ed-E or something (fallout new vegas reference; picture maybe a basketball size or so).

What if it's like 50 feet long and so on? Something that big falling from space can reallllllllllly make a crater. So on that note (and I hope I'm just not knowledgeable about satellites and they ARE only a basket ball size) I hope to god it doesn't land near ANYONE.

So satellite tracker must have it wrong, as here in Australia the web site has the UARS passing at 05:19:21 am NNW transit time: 05:20:28 Max. elevation: 56° 0.5 (bright) ON THE 27TH!

Ok Update on UARS Sat.

I'm using orbitron
www.stoff.pl...

And Heaven-above
www.heavens-above.com...

and Spaceflight Now
www.spaceflightnow.com...

All have it at the same place now just past Central America
be over Cuba and over south tip of Florida in few minute

Last lowest orbit point at 11 to 12 degree was about 150.26 Km

reply to post by Trillium

As has been pointed out, you are not seeing real time information.
As of 7:00 PM EDT, perigee was 145 km
www.abovetopsecret.com...

Phage ,
Is there a chance of me being able to veiw the re-entry in Ohio? I don't mean to ask a silly question, just want to know if it will be visibible here?

Thanks

reply to post by witchof43

I doubt it. It will be very far north of you even if re-entry does occur over North America.
The good new is it won't fall on you.

Originally posted by staggerwing
reply to post by popsmayhem

 

heavens-above.com... URAS tracker is still up.

Great sight BTW for all star and satellite gazing. The ISS, satellite, and Iridium flare passes are a great way to amaze your friends. Plug in your location and get all visible passes, you choose the brightness, and you can set your watch by them.

Why is this up:

UARS - Visible Passes

Search period start: 00:00 Saturday, 24 September, 2011
Search period end: 00:00 Tuesday, 4 October, 2011
Observer's location: Unspecified, 0.0000°N, 0.0000°E
Local time zone: Central European Summer Time (UTC + 2:00)
Orbit: 162 x 170 km, 56.9° (Epoch Sep 23)

Surely they have enough money to pay someone to update that, no?
Oct 4th? How long in advance did they know this was going to pummel to Earth? 20 years ago or 20 days ago?
heavens-above.com...

Originally posted by Phage
Getting very close now. 4 hour window.

Update #11
Fri, 23 Sep 2011 01:30:46 PM GMT-1000

As of 7 p.m. EDT on Sept. 23, 2011, the orbit of UARS was 90 miles by 95 miles (145 km by 150 km). Re-entry is expected between 11 p.m. Friday, Sept. 23, and 3 a.m., Sept. 24, Eastern Daylight Time (3 a.m. to 7 a.m. GMT). During that time period, the satellite will be passing over Canada, Africa and Australia, as well as vast areas of the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceans. The risk to public safety is very remote.

www.nasa.gov...

Damn you beat me to it!...lol have been posting this up on UARS threads....x

IMHO it's going down in water...they wouldn't be so nonchalant about the remoteness of anything/anyone getting hit...I think they are pretty certain by now even though it's tumbling. Some French dude has a great vid up